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By @betdetective

 

Anyone who knows me knows my ratings are heavily influenced by shot and shot on target data. This season i’ve also added shot and shot on target differential numbers to the mix.

 

The following tables show the shot, shot on target and overall differentials for each team. i.e. if Torquay have 16 shots and 8 on target vs Tranmere who have 10 and 6 respectively the differentials are Torquay +6 shots and +2 shots on target. 

 

The team that comes out best on these figures is Grimsby, despite playing fewer games than their title rivals Cheltenham and Forest Green. 

 

Their overall differential of 235 sits a clear gap ahead of Wrexham and Tranmere on 146 and 132.

 

Forest Green are let down by their away numbers. They are 11th in both shot and shot on target differential and while they top the league ladder with 64 points they’ve taken only 24 points from a possible 42 on the road. 

 

Cheltenham’s numbers are solid if not as impressive as Grimsby’s. 

 

Grimsby top every category and are in tip top form winning their last two matches 4-0 and 5-0. Centre forward Omar Bogle scored seven times in their first nine matches but then went scoreless for ten games before netting in the 5-0 win vs Altrincham on Saturday. If that kickstarts a run of goalscoring form – and he is  class act who wont be in this league for long – to back up Padraig Armond who has 23 in all competitions including seven in his last five matches then Grimsby could make a serious run at the title. 

 

UK bookie Screenshot 2016-01-29 12.06.42 go $5 about Grimsby (1/4 odds a place for 1st and 2nd) and this is well worth an investment of a unit each way. Unfortunately the Aussie books are not so generous and I can’t recommend a bet with any of them as it stands.

*Futures bet already placed: 1 unit each way dover at $67 (they still have a decent chance of making this bet a place winner)

 

 

 

 

Overall ( shots home + shots on target home + shots away + shots on target away)

Grimsby 235
Wrexham 146
Tranmere 132
Cheltenham 127
Eastleigh 100
Forest Green 94
Macclesfield 70
Dover 46
Woking 42
Barrow 36
Lincoln 25
Chester -1
Braintree Town -14
Bromley -40
Aldershot -57
Boreham Wood -60
Halifax -69
Gateshead -74
Southport -77
Torquay -96
Guiseley -114
Kidderminster -152
Welling -156
Altrincham -161

 

 

 

By Shots (HOME)

team SHOTS
Grimsby 120
Forest Green 91
Wrexham 79
Tranmere 63
Barrow 57
Cheltenham 55
Macclesfield 51
Eastleigh 46
Dover 41
Lincoln 29
Chester 27
Braintree Town 15
Gateshead 9
Guiseley 9
Torquay 9
Woking 8
Boreham Wood 4
Halifax 4
Aldershot -1
Bromley -11
Southport -18
Kidderminster -29
Welling -33
Altrincham -36

 

 

 

By Shots on target (HOME)

team SOT
Grimsby 56
Wrexham 34
Forest Green 28
Tranmere 25
Cheltenham 24
Eastleigh 22
Dover 20
Barrow 19
Lincoln 19
Macclesfield 18
Woking 17
Bromley 3
Chester 3
Guiseley 3
Altrincham -2
Aldershot -5
Braintree Town -7
Welling -7
Gateshead -8
Boreham Wood -10
Torquay -15
Halifax -16
Southport -16
Kidderminster -17

 

 

 

By shots (AWAY)

team SHOTS
Grimsby 32
Tranmere 32
Cheltenham 31
Eastleigh 19
Wrexham 17
Woking 6
Macclesfield 2
Dover -6
Braintree Town -13
Barrow -15
Forest Green -19
Bromley -24
Chester -26
Lincoln -28
Halifax -34
Aldershot -38
Southport -39
Boreham Wood -40
Gateshead -57
Torquay -65
Altrincham -77
Kidderminster -78
Welling -79
Guiseley -90

 

 

 

By Shots on target (AWAY)

team SOT
Grimsby 27
Tranmere 12
Cheltenham 17
Eastleigh 13
Wrexham 16
Woking 11
Macclesfield -1
Dover -9
Braintree Town -9
Barrow -25
Forest Green -6
Bromley -8
Chester -5
Lincoln 5
Halifax -23
Aldershot -13
Southport -4
Boreham Wood -14
Gateshead -18
Torquay -25
Altrincham -46
Kidderminster -28
Welling -37
Guiseley -36

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