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AFL: Round 21 Trends Analysis and Tips
free bets bet 365

 

 

 

by @thetrendbettor

 

 

Recommended Plays:

 

2u WB/GWS Either Team By Under 24.5 @ $1.80

1u Lachie Neale o29.5 disposals @ $1.90

1u Geelong 1-39 @ $2.80

2u Gold Coast +3.5 1Q @ 1.91

4u Ess/Adel O200.5 points @ $1.91

2u WCE/Carl Under 157.5 @ $1.91

3u Melb/STK Either Team By Under 24.5 Points @ $1.80

1u Hawks -25.5 @ $1.93

2u Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.10

 

 

Trends that heavily contributed to the recommended bet are in GREEN.

 

 

 

Western Bulldogs v GWS Giants – Etihad Stadium

 

Bulldogs are 11-8 SU, 8-11 ATS, 7-12 Over

GWS are 12-5-2 SU, 7-12 ATS, 9-10 Over

Bulldogs are 2-3 SU, 3-2 ATS against the Giants in their last 5 meetings

      1-1 SU & ATS at Etihad Stadium

12 of the last 14 GWS matches have been decided by under 24 points

Bulldogs are 9-2 SU, 4-7 ATS in Melbourne in 2017

      7-2 SU, 3-6 ATS at Etihad Stadium

Under is 15-1* in the last 16 Thursday/Friday night matches

      1* was last Friday Night

Giants are 3-4-1 SU, 3-5 ATS away from NSW/ACT in 2017

Suggested Bet: Either Team By Under 24.5 Points @ $1.80

 

 

 

Sydney v Fremantle – SCG

Swans are 11-8 SU & ATS, 7-12 Over

Freo are 8-11 SU, 10-9 ATS, 9-10 Over

Swans are 3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS against Freo since 2014

Swans are 5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS at the SCG in 2017

      Under is 7-2

Freo are 3-5 SU, 5-3 ATS away from Domain Stadium in 2017

Lachie Neale has had 30+ possessions in 3 of his last 4 matches against Sydney.

Recommended: Lachie Neale 30+ possessions @ $1.91

 

 

 

Geelong v Richmond – Simonds Stadium

Cats are 12-6-1 SU, 9-10 ATS, 10-9 Over

Tigers are 13-6 SU, 14-5 ATS, 4-15 Over

Geelong are 12-0 SU in their last 12 games v Richmond

      4-3 ATS since 2010

Cats are 14-2 SU, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 matches at Simonds Stadium

Over is 7-4 in the last 11 day matches at Simonds Stadium

Cats are 5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS the week after losing at Simonds Stadium under Chris Scott

Recommended Bet: Geelong 1-39 @ $2.80

 

 

 

Brisbane v Gold Coast – Gabba

Lions are 4-15 SU, 11-8 ATS, 11-8 Over

Suns are 6-13 SU, 8-11 ATS, 9-10 Over

Lions are 5-4 SU & ATS against the Suns since 2013

Lions are 5-2 SU & ATS against the Suns at the Gabba

      Over is 5-2

Lions average 112 team points against the Suns at the Gabba

Lions are 2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS at the Gabba in 2017

Suns are 2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS away from Metricon Stadium in 2017

Teams are 5-3 SU in Q1 the week after sacking their coach since 2010

      Does not include games with a coach being out due to suspension or health

Gold Coast are 11-8 SU in Q1 in 2017

      Their best quarter

Lions are 5-14 SU in Q1 in 2017

      Their worst quarter

Recommended Bet:

Gold Coast +3.5 First Quarter @ $1.91

 

 

 

Essendon v Adelaide – Etihad Stadium

Bombers are 10-9 SU & ATS & Over

Crows are 14-4-1 SU, 13-6 ATS, 9-10 Over

Bombers are 2-4 SU, 3-3 ATS against the Crows since 2012

      1-1 SU & ATS at Etihad Stadium

      Over is 6-0

Bombers are 8-5 SU, 7-6 ATS in Melbourne in 2017

      4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS at Etihad Stadium

Bombers average 108 team total points at Etihad Stadium in 2017

Crows average 110 points at Etihad Stadium since 2015

Recommended Bet: Total Points Over 200.5 @ $1.91

 

 

 

West Coast v Carlton – Domain Stadium

Eagles are 10-9 SU, 8-11 ATS, 8-11 Over

Blues are 5-14 SU, 11-8 ATS, 8-11 Over

Eagles are 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS against the Blues since 2013

      1-1 SU & ATS at Domain Stadium

Eagles are 7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS at Domain Stadium in 2017

Blues are 2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS interstate under Brendan Bolton

Under is 7-1 in their last 8 matches at Domain Stadium

“Under” is 10-1 in the last 11 night matches at Domain Stadium

Recommended Bet: Under 157.5 @ $1.91

 

 

 

Melbourne v St Kilda – MCG

Dees are 10-9 SU, 7-12 ATS, 9-10 Over

Saints are 10-9 SU, 8-11 ATS, 6-13 Over

Dees are 1*-10 SU, 5-6 ATS against the Saints since 2010

      1* in round 1 2017

      0-4 SU, 3-1 ATS at the MCG

Dees are 5-4 SU, 1-8 ATS at the MCG in 2017

8 of the 9 Melbourne matches at the MCG have been decided by under 24 points

Saints are 6-6 SU & ATS at the MCG since 2012

Recommended Bet: Either Team By Under 24.5 Points @ $1.80

 

 

 

Hawthorn v North Melbourne – Launceston

Hawks are 8-10-1 SU, 10-10 ATS, 4-15 Over

North are 5-14 SU, 8-11 ATS, 10-9 Over

Alistair Clarkson’s Hawks are 7-2 SU, 3-6 ATS against Brad Scott’s Roos

      2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS at Aurora Stadium

Hawks are 4-2-1 SU, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 matches

North are 1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS in the last 9 matches

Recommended Bet: Hawks -25.5 @ $1.93

 

 

 

Port Adelaide v Collingwood – Adelaide Oval

Port are 12-7 SU, 11-8 ATS, 6-13 Over

Pies are 8-10-1 SU, 11-8 ATS, 10-9 Over

Port are 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS against the Pies since 2013

Pies are 0-3 SU, 2-1 ATS at Adelaide Oval

Pies are 8-7 SU, 13-2 ATS in their last 15 interstate matches

Port are 6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS against interstate sides at Adelaide Oval in 2017

      Under is 6-2

Recommended Bet: Port Adelaide 1-39 @ $2.10

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