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AFL: Round 22 Trends and Recommended Bets
free bets bet 365

 

by @thetrendbettor

 

 

 

 

Recommended Bets:

4u Sydney win @ $2.25 (Sportsbet)

1u WB/PA Either Team by Under 19.5 Points @ $2.10 (Sportsbet)

1u Geelong 1-24 @ $3.20 (Sportsbet)

2u GWS 1-39 @ $2.35 (UBET)

3u Essendon -20.5 @ $1.93 (Bet365)

3u Hawks -22.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

3u Brisbane +42.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

2u St Kilda 1-39 @ $2.20 (Ubet)

1u Richmond -19.5 @ $1.93 (Bet365)

 

 

 

 

Round 22 Write Up (most relevant trends are in GREEN)

 

Adelaide v Sydney – Adelaide Oval

Crows are 15-4-1 SU, 14-6 ATS, 9-11 Over

Swans are 12-8 SU, 12-8 ATS, 8-12 Over

Crows are 1-5 SU & ATS against the Swans

      1-3 SU & ATS in Adelaide

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 matches between the two sides

Under is 16-8 in night matches at Adelaide Oval

Swans have a better winning % in away matches than home matches under John Longmire

Under is 16-1 in the last 17 Thursday/Friday night matches

      1* was Geelong v Sydney in Round 20

Recommended Bet: Sydney win @ $2.25 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

 

Western Bulldogs v Port Adelaide – Ballarat

Bulldogs are 11-9 SU, 8-12 ATS, 7-13 Over

Port are 13-7 SU, 12-8 ATS, 6-14 Over

Dogs are 2-2 SU & ATS in their last 4 v the Power

Port are 5-4 SU, 6-3 ATS interstate in 2017

Bulldogs are 9-4 SU, 4-9 ATS in Victoria in 2017

*hard to find trends at an oval that has never been played on

Recommended Bet: Either Team By Under 19.5 Points @ $2.10

 

 

 

 

 

Collingwood v Geelong – MCG

Pies are 8-11-1 SU, 11-9 ATS, 10-10 Over

Cats are 13-6-1 SU, 10-10 ATS, 10-10 Over

Pies are 6-2 SU & ATS against the Cats under Nathan Buckley

Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the two sides

Pies are 3-8-1 SU, 5-6 ATS at the MCG in 2017

Cats are 2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS at the MCG in 2017

Pies are 3-5-1 SU, 7-2 ATS as underdogs in 2017

Cats are 11-4 SU, 7-8 ATS as favourites in 2017

Recommended Bet: Geelong 1-24 @ $3.20 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

 

GWS Giants v West Coast Eagles – Spotless Stadium

Giants are 13-5-2 SU, 8-12 ATS, 9-11 Over

Eagles are 11-9 SU, 8-12 ATS, 9-11 Over

GWS beat the Eagles for the first time in Round 10 at Domain Stadium

GWS are 5-1-1 SU, 1-6 ATS at Spotless Stadium in 2017

6 of the 7 matches at Spotless Stadium have been decided by 16 points or less

Eagles are 3-6 SU & ATS interstate in 2017

Recommended Bet: GWS 1-39 @ $2.35 (UBET)

 

 

 

 

 

Gold Coast v Essendon – Metricon Stadium

Suns are 6-14 SU, 8-12 ATS, 10-10 Over

Essendon 10-10 SU & ATS & Over

Suns are 2-2 SU & ATS against the Bombers since 2014

Suns are 4-5 SU & ATS at Metricon Stadium in 2017

Suns are 1-8 SU, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 matches

Bombers are 1-4 SU, 3-2 ATS interstate in 2017

Bombers are 4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS as favourites in 2017

Recommended Bet: Essendon -20.5 @ $1.93

 

 

 

 

 

Carlton v Hawthorn – Etihad Stadium

Blues are 5-15 SU, 12-8 ATS, 9-11 Over

Hawks are 9-10-1 SU, 10-10 ATS, 5-15 Over

Blues have lost their last 14 attempts against Hawthorn

      4495 days

Blues are 4-4 ATS against the Hawks since 2010

Blues are 1-7 SU, 3-5 ATS in their last 8 matches at Etihad Stadium

Hawks are 5-2-1 SU, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 matches

Hawks are 6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS in their last 7 matches at Etihad Stadium

Recommended Bet: Hawks -22.5 @ $1.92

 

 

 

 

 

Melbourne v Brisbane Lions – MCG

Dees are 11-9 SU, 8-12 ATS, 9-11 Over

Lions are 5-15 SU, 12-8 ATS, 12-8 Over

Dees are 2-3 SU, 4-1 ATS v Lions since 2013

      2-0 SU & ATS at the MCG

Dees are 6-4 SU, 2-8 ATS at the MCG in 2017

8 of the 9 Melbourne matches at the MCG have been decided by under 24.5 points

Lions are 2-8 SU, 8-2 ATS away from the Gabba in 2017

      8-2 ATS is the best away record in the league

Lions are 1-6 SU, 5-2 ATS at the MCG since 2013

Recommended Bet: Brisbane +42.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

 

St Kilda v North Melbourne – Etihad Stadium

Saints are 10-10 SU, 8-12 ATS, 6-14 Over

North are 5-15 SU, 8-12 ATS, 11-9 Over

Saints are 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS v North since 2012

      1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS at Etihad Stadium

Saints are 8-5 SU, 5-8 ATS at Etihad Stadium in 2017

North are 2-10 SU, 4-8 ATS at Etihad Stadium in 2017

Saints are 6-2 SU, 2-6 ATS as favourites in 2017

Recommended Bet: St Kilda 1-39 @ $2.20 (Ubet)

 

 

 

 

 

Fremantle v Richmond – Domain Stadium

Freo are 8-12 SU, 10-10 ATS, 10-10 Over

Tigers are 13-7 SU, 14-6 ATS, 4-16 Over

Freo are 4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS v Tigers since 2013

      1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS at Domain Stadium

Freo are 5-6 SU & ATS at Domain Stadium in 2017

      1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS as underdogs

Tigers are 23-20 SU, 26-17 ATS in away interstate matches under Damien Hardwick

      3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS in 2017

Recommended Bet: Richmond -19.5 @ $1.93 (Bet365)

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