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AFL: Round 23 Trends and Tips
free bets bet 365

 

 

by @thetrendbettor

 

Official Plays:

1u Hawthorn 1-39 @ $2.7 (Luxbet)

1u Melbourne 1-39 @ $2.2 (Sportsbet)

5u BL/NM Over 203.5 Total Points @ $1.90 (Sportsbet)

0.5u Sydney -50.5 / Under 168.5 @ $4.33 (Sportsbet)

1u GEEL/GWS Either Team by Under 24.5 @ $1.72 (Sportsbet)

4u Port Adelaide -50.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

3u Ess/Freo Over 187.5 Points @ $1.90 (Bet365)

2u Richmond 1-39 @ $2.20 (Ubet)

1u Adelaide -11.5 @ $1.93 (Bet365)

 

 

 

Most relevant trends are in GREEN

 

 

Hawthorn v Western Bulldogs – Etihad Stadium

Hawks are 9-11-1 SU, 10-11 ATS, 5-16 Over

Bulldogs are 11-10 SU, 8-13 ATS, 8-13 Over

Hawks are 7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS against the Dogs since 2011

      3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS at Etihad Stadium

Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between the two sides

      3-0 at Etihad Stadium

Bulldogs are 7-3 SU, 3-7 ATS at Etihad Stadium in 2017

Hawks are 6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS in their last 8 matches at Etihad Stadium

Recommended Bet: Hawthorn 1-39 @ $2.7 (Ladbrokes)

 

 

 

 

 

Collingwood v Melbourne – MCG

Pies are 8-12-1 SU, 12-9 ATS, 10-11 Over

Dees are 12-9 SU, 8-13 ATS, 10-11 Over

Melbourne are 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS in their last 4 against the Pies

9 of the 10 Melbourne matches at the MCG have been decided by under 24.5 points

Dees are 6-4 SU, 2-8 ATS at the MCG in 2017

      all 6 wins have been under 24.5 points

Pies are 3-8-1 SU, 6-6 ATS at the MCG in 2017

Dees are 7-4 SU, 2-9 as favourites in 2017

Pies are 3-6-1 SU, 8-2 ATS as underdogs in 2017

Recommended Bet: Melbourne 1-39 @ $2.20 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

 

Brisbane v North Melbourne – Gabba

Lions are 5-16 SU, 13-8 ATS, 13-8 Over

North are 5-16 SU, 8-13 ATS, 12-9 Over

Lions are 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS against North

      3-2 SU & ATS at the Gabba

“Over” is 6-2 in the last 8 matches at the Gabba

The last round of the H&A season (round 23/24) is the highest scoring round of the H&A season

“Over” is 7-3 in the last 10 North Melbourne away interstate matches

Lions are 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS at the Gabba in 2017

Recommended Bet: Over 203.5 Total Points @ $1.90 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

 

Sydney v Carlton – SCG

Swans are 13-8 SU, 13-8 ATS, 8-13 Over

Blues are 6-15 SU, 13-8 ATS, 9-12 Over

Swans are 7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS against the Blues since 2012

      5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS in Sydney

“Under” is 5-1 in the last 6 matches in Sydney between the two sides

“Under” is 7-3 in matches at the SCG in 2017

Swans are 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 matches at the SCG

      “Home/Under” double is 3-2

Blues are 2-8 SU, 5-5 ATS interstate under Brendan Bolton

Recommended Bet: Sydney -50.5 / Under 168.5 @ $4.33 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Geelong v GWS Giants – Simonds Stadium

Cats are 14-6-1 SU, 10-11 ATS, 10-11 Over

GWS are 14-5-2 SU, 8-13 ATS, 9-12 Over

Cats are 3-1-1 SU, 2-3 ATS in the last 5 meetings v GWS

Cats are 2-0 SU, 0-2 ATS against GWS at Simonds Stadium

Cats are 14-2 SU, 11-5 ATS in their last 16 matches at Simonds Stadium

Cats are 15-2 SU, 12-5 ATS in night matches at Simonds Stadium

GWS are 5-4-1 SU, 5-5 ATS in away matches in 2017

13 of the last 16 GWS matches have been decided by under 24 points

Recommended Bet: Either Team by Under 24.5 @ $1.72 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

 

Port Adelaide v Gold Coast – Adelaide Oval

Port are 14-7 SU, 13-8 ATS, 7-14 Over

Suns are 6-15 SU, 8-13 ATS, 10-11 Over

Port are 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS v the Suns since 2012

Port are 7-2 SU, 5-4 ATS at Adelaide Oval against interstate sides in 2017

Port are 11-0 SU, 9-2 ATS against bottom 9 sides in 2017

Suns are 1-9 SU, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 matches

Suns are 2-9 SU, 4-7 ATS away from Metricon in 2017

Recommended Bet: Port Adelaide -50.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

 

Essendon v Fremantle – Etihad Stadium

Bombers are 11-10 SU, 11-10 ATS, 10-11 Over

Freo are 8-13 SU, 10-11 ATS, 11-10 Over

Bombers are 0-4 SU & ATS against Freo since 2014

      All at Domain Stadium

These two teams haven’t played each other at Etihad since 2010

Bombers are 8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS in Melbourne in 2017

      4-4 SU, 3-5 ATS at Etihad Stadium

Bombers are 3-4 SU, 1-6 ATS as favourites in 2017

Freo are 3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS away from Domain Stadium in 2017

“Over” is 6-3 in Fremantle interstate matches in 2017

Average total points score in Essendon game at Etihad Stadium in 2017 is 197.3

Recommended Bet: Over 187.5 Points @ $1.90 (Bet365)

 

 

 

 

 

Richmond v St Kilda – MCG

Tigers are 14-7 SU, 15-6 ATS, 5-16 Over

Saints are 11-10 SU, 9-12 ATS, 7-14 Over

Tigers are 6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS against the Saints since 2012

      3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS at MCG

Tigers are 8-2 SU & ATS at the MCG in 2017

      Under is 9-1

      7 of the 8 wins have been by under 39.5 points

Saints are 7-11-1 SU, 7-12 ATS at the MCG since 2011

Recommended Bet: Richmond 1-39 @ $2.20 (Ubet)

 

 

 

 

 

West Coast v Adelaide – Domain Stadium

Eagles are 11-10 SU, 9-12 ATS, 9-12 Over

Crows are 15-5-1 SU, 14-7 ATS, 9-12 Over

Eagles are 4-3 SU & ATS against Adelaide since 2013

      1-2 SU & ATS at Domain Stadium

Eagles are 8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS at Domain Stadium in 2017

Eagles are 2-10 SU & ATS as underdogs against interstate sides at Domain Stadium since ‘13

Crows are 12-7-1 SU, 12-8 ATS interstate under Don Pyke

Crows are 4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS at Domain Stadium since 2012

Recommended Bet: Adelaide -11.5 @ $1.93 (Bet365)

 

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