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AFL: Brisbane v Adelaide - Stats, Trends and Tips
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By Tom Sermani

 

Brisbane v Adelaide

 

The Crows visit the Gabba looking to keep their finals hopes alive with both Essendon and Gold Coast having done them big favours by losing  in this round.

Brisbane have won their last two matches and have been competitive in their last five.

 

Brisbane (since 2012 in brackets)

S/U: 6/12 (26/36)

ATS: 9/9 (32/30)

Day: 1/3 

Day ATS: 2/2 (15/10)

Gabba S/U: 3/6 

Gabba ATS: 5/4 (24/20)

7 day + break: 6/9

7 day + break ATS: 9/6 (28/22)

Q1 S/U: 4/13/1

1H S/U: 6/12

 

 

Over/Under

O/U: 6/12 (30/32)

Gabba: 2/7 (15/18)

7 day + break: 6/9 (25/26)

Day: 1/3 (13/12)

1Q: 8/10

1H: 6/12

1Q Gabba: 3/6

1H Gabba: 3/6 

 

 

Points

Average scored: 67.7

Average conceded: 96.6

Average Total: 164.2

Average Points Line: 173.6

Average Scored at Gabba: 72.7

Average Conceded at Gabba: 89

Average Total at Gabba: 161.7

Average Points Line at Gabba: 173.4

 

Notable Trends:

The Lions have been a fair unders team this year at 6/12. They are 2/7 at the Gabba, 1/3 in day games and 3/6 in both opening quarters and halves. 

 

 

Adelaide (since 2012 in brackets)

S/U: 9/9 (37/28)

ATS: 8/10 (36/29)

Day: 5/3 

Day ATS: 4/4 (20/11)

Interstate S/U: 4/4 

Interstate ATS: 3/5 (17/12)

7 day + break: 6/5

7 day + break ATS: 5/6 (24/21)

Q1 S/U: 8/10

1H S/U: 7/11

  

 

Over/Under

O/U: 10/8 (35/30)

Interstate: 4/4 (17/12)

7 day + break: 5/6 (23/22)

Day: 4/4 (18/13)

1Q: 9/9

1H: 7/11

 

Points

Average scored: 94.7

Average conceded: 89

Average Total: 183.6

Average Points Line: 181.3

 

Notable Trends:

The Crows are 20/11 ATS in day matches since 2012.  Despite a 10/8 record to the over they are 7/11 to the under in first halves. 

 

 

Verdict and Bets.

 

Adelaide have put the weakest teams to the sword this year scoring 136 and 140 v GWS and 136 v St Kilda. With this in mind and also their overs record overall and their unders record in first halves we’ll look to the 2nd half total points market for the Crows for a bit of value here.

 

1 unit Adelaide total 2nd half points over 48.5 at $2.0 with Screenshot 2014-06-06 12.59.13

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