The Lions welcome the Pies to the Gabba in a fixture given added spice – or perhaps just spice – by Dayne Beams making his Lions debut against his old team.
The main angle here is to the match total unders. Collingwood have been a great unders bet when travelling interstate over the past few years while Brisbane’s games in 2014 went 3/8 over/under at the Gabba.
I also like the Pies at their current odds which have drifted since the markets opened.
The Pies are set to struggle this year without doubt, but so are the Lions who won 3 from 11 at this venue in 2014 with those losses by an average of 47 points.