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AFL: Fremantle vs Port Adelaide
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By @OddyAFL

 

Freo welcome Port Adelaide to Patersons Stadium for their season opener in what should be a fascinating match up. Port were brilliant for much of 2014 and showed their class by coming back from a mid season wobble to miss out on making the Grand Final by less than a goal. 

Port beat Freo twice in 2014, in round 8 at Adelaide Oval and in their semi final at today’s venue. Sandwiched between the wins was a defeat to Freo in round 23.

I lean towards Port getting 3.5 points but the best value, as often when Fremantle are involved, is to go under the points total. 

I would not try to dissuade anyone from betting under 172.5 with Hills but on balance i prefer the 1st quarter market, with the likelihood of Ross Lyon looking to keep things very tight as per usual. 

Port went 3/9 o/u in 1st quarters away from Adelaide in 2014 while Freo were 4/10 in day and twilight matches. 

All three opening periods of the meetings last year went under 42.5.

1 unit under 42.5 1st qtr points at $1.88 with Screenshot 2014-06-06 12.59.13

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