Oddy Oddy Oddy - Logo
AFL: Gold Coast v Collingwood
free bets bet 365

 

Collingwood visit Metricon Stadium looking to cement themselves in the top 8 while the Suns can vastly improve the chances of a first finals appearance by winning themselves. 

The last time the two teams met was in Round 17 last year when the Suns, aided by 49 possessions from Gary Ablett, came out victors by 7 points. 

 

Gold Coast (since 2012 in brackets)

S/U: 8/6

ATS: 8/6 (30/28)

Twilight S/U: 4/2

Twilight ATS: 4/2 (13/7)

Metricon S/U: 4/3

Metricon ATS: 5/2

7 day + break S/U: 7/5

7 day + break ATS: 6/6 (22/27)

 

Over/Under:

O/U: 9/5 (30/28)

Metricon: 5/2

7 day + break: 7/5 (25/24)

Twilight: 5/3 (11/11)

 

Points:

Average scored: 93.2

Average conceded: 92.1

Average Total: 185.4

Average Points Line: 181.6

Average Scored at Metricon: 99.3

Average Conceded at Metricon: 90.4

Average Total at Metricon: 189.7

Average Points Line at Metricon: 183.5

 

Notable Trends: 

A lean towards overs without any one trend standing out. Their 13/7 ATS record in twilight games since 2012 is also worth noting. 

 

 

 

Collingwood (since 2012 in brackets)

S/U: 9/5

ATS: 7/7 (26/36)

Twilight S/U: 2/1

Twilight ATS: 1/2 (6/9)

Interstate S/U: 1/1

Interstate ATS: 1/1 (7/6)

6 day break S/U: 3/3

6 day break ATS: 3/3 (7/13)

 

Over/Under

O/U: 6/8

Interstate: 0/2

6 day break: 4/2 (7/13)

Twilight: 2/1 (5/10)

 

Points

Average scored: 88.6

Average conceded: 77.7

Average Total: 166.4

Average Points Line: 175.6

 

Notable Trends: 

In the past two seasons Collingwood have shown strong trends towards the unders off a 6 day break and in twilight games as well as being poor ATS off a 6 day break. None of these trends has continued in 2014, however. 

 

Verdict:

We would have been with the Suns ATS at the original line of +6.5 but this long gone and +1.5 is the best available and looks about right.

 

 

 

Bet:

With this looking like it should be a really close match it may pay to go with either team to win by 15 points or under in the Tri Bet market at $2.75 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *