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AFL: Kangaroos v Cats - Betting Preview and Tips
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By Tom Sermani

 

North Melbourne (since 2012 in brackets)

S/U: 10/7 (34/27)

ATS: 9/8 (33/27)

Night: 4/6 

Night ATS: 4/6 (9/10)

Etihad S/U: 5/3

Etihad ATS: 5/3 (23/11)

7 day + break: 7/3

7 day + break ATS: 6/4 (22/17)

Underdog: 4/2

Underdog ATS: 4/2 (19/8)

1Q s/u: 8/9

1H s/u: 7/10

 

 

Over/Under

O/U: 7/10 (28/34)

Etihad: 4/4 (17/17)

7 day + break: 4/6 (20/19)

Night: 5/5 (9/10)

Underdog: 3/3 (16/110 

1Q: 9/8

1H: 6/11

 

Notable Trends:

North are a strong proposition at the line at Etihad (23/11 since 2012) and 19/8 as underdog in the same period. 

 

 

 

Geelong (since 2012 in brackets)

S/U: 13/4 (47/15)

ATS: 8/9 (29/36)

Night: 7/2 

Night ATS: 4/5 (18/17)

Etihad S/U: 2/0

Etihad ATS: 0/2 (4/8)

7 day + break: 9/0 

7 day + break ATS: 5/4 (17/24)

Fav: 12/3

Fav ATS: 7/8 (20/33)

Q1 S/U: 14/3

1H S/U: 14/3

 

 

 

Over/Under

O/U:6/11 (32/33)

Etihad: 1/1 (6/6)

7 day + break: 3/6 (20/21)

Night: 4/5 (17/18)

1Q: 8/9

1H: 6/11 

 

Notable Trends:

Geelong do not have a great record at the line over the past 3 seasons at 29/36 since the start of 2012 and 4/8 at Etihad, 17/24 off a 7+ day break  and 20/33 as favourite. 

 

 

 

Verdict and Tips:

The trends point towards North at the line of +8.5 points but a better proposition looks to be the Screenshot 2014-06-06 12.59.13offer of money back if your head to head bet gets chinned by 20 points or less. Geelong have won both games they’ve played at Etihad in 2014, by 9 points against Essendon and by 5 points over Carlton. 

1.5 units on North Melbourne at $2.40 to win the match with money back if beaten by 20 points or less.

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