Essendon take on North Melbourne at the Etihad Stadium on Friday night with both teams coming off wins.
Essendon were lucky to beat Melbourne in the last round when they had 13 fewer inside 50’s and 6 fewer scoring shots but still ran out nine point winners.
The Kangaroos were 41 point victors over the Cats in round 15 yet they too appeared to be a little fortunate to run out such convincing looking winners as the Cats had four more inside 50’s over the course of the match.
I’m generally keen to take on the Kangas when they play at night as their day time ATS record is vastly superior to their night time one.
At Etihad at night since the start of last season North have covered 3 times in 11 matches with the total going over 9 of the 11 times.
In 2015 they are 1/4 ATS at the Etihad at night with 4 of the 5 going over. In each of these matches North were favourites.
The Bombers have covered on 5 out of the 7 games they have played at Etihad as underdogs since 2014.