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AFL: Port Adelaide v Richmond
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By Tom Sermani @tom_sermani

 

Port Adelaide v Richmond

 

Odds/Lines:

 

Port Adelaide: $1.48 -15.5.

Richmond: $3.0 +16.5

Points Total Line: 175.5

 

Current form:

Port Adelaide: Won two of last five and four of last 10. 

Richmond: Won last five and nine of last 10. 

 

Over/Under Points Record:

Port Adelaide: 8 over, 14 under (3/9 at Adelaide Oval)

Richmond: 8 over, 14 under (0/1 at Adelaide Oval)

 

Team News:

Port Adelaide: O’Shea in for Impey.

Richmond: No changes.

 

 

Key Players:

 

Port Adelaide:

Jay Schulz

Screenshot 2014-09-06 14.21.39

Schulz is back amongst the goals with six against the Dockers last week after a bit of a lean spell in front of goal and his match up with Richmond’s in-form defender Alex Rance could be the difference in this match. When on his game he’s right up there with the best forwards and on the evidence of last week he could be hitting form at the perfect time. 

 

Robbie Gray

Screenshot 2014-09-06 15.01.59

Robbie Gray has spent more time in the midfield this season and he’s been little short of a revelation, averaging 25 disposals while also kicking a career equalling average of 1.6 goals per game. He’s been backed to win the Brownlow medal and his form this season entitles him to be in consideration. 

 

Richmond:

Brandon Ellis

Screenshot 2014-09-06 15.08.28

Like Robbie Gray for the Power, Brandon Ellis has improved massively in 2014. He averaged 15.7 and 18.6 disposals in his first two seasons and has upped this number to 26.4 so far this year, the same as the much lauded Trent Cochin. He is one year of improvement from being an elite midfielder of the competition. 

 

Brett Deledio

Screenshot 2014-09-06 15.13.21

Brett Deledio has played more forward in the latter half of the season and this move has been pivotal in Richmond’s nine game winning streak, giving the support to Jack Riewoldt that Tyrone Vickary could not.

Deledio has scored eleven times in his last five games and he can add to that tally tomorrow. 

 

 

Last 10 meetings between the teams:

Port Adelaide have won fourof the last ten, Richmond have won five.

Average winning margin is 23 points.

 

The two sides last met in round 17 when the Tigers convincingly beat Port by 23 points at Etihad Stadium. 

 

Verdict:

The stat I keep coming back to when looking at this match is the most basic one of all. Richmond have won their last nine matches while Port have won just four of the last ten. The Tigers are on a roll and their confidence could not be any higher. 

 

Bet 1: 

1 unit Richmond to win at $3.0 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

 

Bet 2:

1 unit Richmond to win by 16+ at $5.50 with Screenshot 2014-06-13 14.59.08

 

 

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