Last week we noted a nice trend towards Richmond underperforming against the spread when favourites and over performing as underdogs.
We wrote the following:
The Tigers are 1/7 ATS as 20+ point favourites since the start of last year (5/3 straight up).
They are 0/7 ATS as 20+ point favs at the MCG.
These numbers, after they beat GWS without covering (perfect for our 1-24 margin bet) now read 1/8 ATS as 20+ point favs and 0/8 ATS as 20+ point favs at the MCG.
Again, i like Richmond to win but not to cover the spread.
Ladbrokes are again offering even money on Richmond (for $20) so we may as well utilise this offer in a somewhat unorthodox method.
Back Richmond at $2.0 with
Back Carlton +23.5 at $2.01 with
If you have $20 on each of those you’ll get the following returns:
Richmond win by 0-23: +$40
Richmond win by 23+: Level
Carlton win: Level