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AFL: Round 1 - Remaining Matches
free bets bet 365

 

 

by @thetrendbettor

Essendon $1.95 v Adelaide $2.05 – Etihad Stadium

Line +2.5, Total 198.5

Key Trends:

  • “Over” is 7-0 in Adelaide’s last 7 round 1 matches

  • “Over” is 6-1 in the last 7 matches between these two teams – averaging 211 points

  • Essendon averaged 105 points at Etihad Stadium in 2017

  • Adelaide average 111 points at Etihad Stadium since 2012

  • Grand Final losers are 4-4 SU, 2-7 ATS in round 1 since 2010

Recommended Bet: 1u Both Teams to Score 87+ points @ $1.89 (Bet365)

 

 

 


 

St Kilda $1.32 v Brisbane $3.80 – Etihad Stadium

Line -25.5, Total 194.5

Key Trends:

  • Despite only being 2-7 SU in their last 9 matches in Victoria, Brisbane are 8-1 ATS. Covering by an average of 22 points

  • Saints are 6-2 SU, 4-4 ATS in their last 8 matches at Etihad Stadium against interstate sides

  • Saints are 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS in their last 3 matches against the Lions

Recommended Bet: 0.5u St Kilda 1-39 @ $2.25 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 


 

Port Adelaide $1.26 v Fremantle $4.7 – Adelaide Oval

Line -25.5, Total 183.5

Key Trends:

  • Fremantle are 1-5 SU & ATS at Adelaide Oval

  • Port Adelaide are 3-0 SU & ATS against Fremantle at Adelaide Oval

  • Non-Victorian teams playing at home against a travelling opponent are 18-7 SU, 16-9 ATS in round 1 since 2010.

  • Port Adelaide are 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS in their first home game of the season

Recommended Bet: 1u Port Adelaide -25.5 @ $1.92 (Crownbet)

 

 

 

Gold Coast Suns $1.95 v North Melbourne $2.15 – Cazaly’s Stadium

Line -1.5, Total 161.5, Weather – Wet

Key Trends:

  • Gold Coast are 3-1 SU & ATS at home in round 1 since 2013

  • Gold Coast are 0-4 SU & ATS in their last 4 matches at Cazaly’s Stadium

  • Under is 7-0 in the last 7 matches at Cazaly’s Stadium

  • North Melbourne are 4-1 SU & ATS in their last 5 matches in Queensland

  • Over is 5-0 in the last 5 matches between these two teams

Recommended Bet (No official play): Either Team by Under 19.5 Points @ $2 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

Hawthorn $1.84 v Collingwood $2.05 – MCG

Line 1.87, Total 174.5, Weather – Shower or two

Key Trends:

  • Hawthorn are 10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 matches against Collingwood

  • Over is 9-2 in the last 11 matches between the two sides, averaging 211 points

  • Collingwood were 4-9-1 SU, 7-7 ATS at the MCG in 2017

  • Hawthorn were 4-7 SU, 5-6 ATS at the MCG in 2017

Recommended Bet: 0.5u – Hawthorn @ $1.84 (Crownbet)

 

 

 

GWS Giants $1.44 v Western Bulldogs $3.14 – UNSW Canberra Oval

Line -17.5, Total 176.5, Weather – Shower or Two

Key Trends:

  • GWS are 8-1 SU, 7-2 ATS in Canberra since 2015

  • Western Bulldogs were 2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS in matches outside of Melbourne in 2017

  • GWS concede an average of 62 points in their last 9 matches in Canberra

  • GWS are 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS against the Western Bulldogs in their last 6 meetings

Recommended Bet: 0.5u Western Bulldogs Total Team Points – Under 78.5 @ $1.95 (Bet365)

 

 

 

Melbourne $1.98 v Geelong $2.04 – MCG

Line -0.5, Total 179.5

Key Trends:

  • Melbourne were 6-6 SU, 2-10 ATS at the MCG in 2017

  • Geelong were 4-3 SU, 2-5 ATS at the MCG in 2017

  • Geelong are 12-1 SU against Melbourne since 2007. 6-2 ATS since 2010

  • Geelong are 6-2 SU & ATS in round 1 since 2010

  • Melbourne are 3-0 SU & ATS in their last 3 round 1 matches

Recommended Bet: 0.5u Geelong win @ $2.04 (Palmerbet)

 

 

 

 

West Coast Eagles $3.23 v Sydney Swans $1.42 – Optus Stadium

Line +17.5, Total 176.5

Key Trends:

  • Home underdogs playing against travelling teams are 8-4 SU, 10-2 ATS in round 1 since 2010.

  • Eagles are 6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS their first home match for the season since 2011

  • Swans are 6-2 SU & ATS in their last 8 matches against the Eagles

  • Swans are 1-4 SU, 2-3 ATS in their last 5 trips to Western Australia

 

Recommended Bet: 1u West Coast +17.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

 

Official Plays:

  • 0.5u RICH/CARL Over 179.5 Total Points @ $1.91 (William Hill)

  • 1u ESS/ADEL Both Teams to Score 87+ points @ $1.89 (Bet365)

  • 0.5u St Kilda 1-39 v Brisbane @ $2.25 (Sportsbet)

  • 1u Port Adelaide -25.5 @ $1.92 (Crownbet)

  • 0.5u – Hawthorn win v Collingwood @ $1.84 (Crownbet)

  • 0.5u Western Bulldogs Total Team Points – Under 78.5 v GWS @ $1.95 (Bet365)

  • 0.5u Geelong win v Melbourne @ $2.04 (Palmerbet)

  • 1u West Coast +17.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

 

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