We got off to a great start lats night with the Swans beating North comfortably at the SCG. It was also a good match for trading with North hitting a high of around +46.5 towards the end of the first quarter before coming right back into things before half time. An easy middle for anyone on at the -16.5 who is that way inclined.
Saturday kicks off with Brisbane vs Hawthorn at the Gabba and we covered this match in part I of the preview.
Next up is Melbourne vs Port Adelaide at Traeger Park and both teams have struggled for any consistency so far in 2016. What might swing it in the Dees’ favour is their motivation. They have a chance of playing finals this year and this should be all the motivation their players need to be right up for this match while Port, who i foolishly backed for the flag just two weeks ago, look like a team in disarray. They have at least been competitive in their most recent losses but I get a feeling that leadership is missing at the club and they could continue to struggle from here on in.
Max Gawn should be able to dominate the ruck for Melbourne against a weakened Port in that department.
Fremantle go to the Etihad to play St Kilda on Saturday afternoon and we should stick with opposing the Dockers until they prove that they aren’t in full tank mode. The Saints have taken a couple of heavy beatings this season but overall they look like good young side that are improving fast.
Essendon play Richmond at the MCG in the Dreamtime game on Saturday night and when Richmond are concerned it can be wise to expect the unexpected. They could win by 20 goals but I have a sneaky feeling for a big upset here.
Adelaide vs GWS is too tricky to call at Adelaide Oval in what should be a close one.
I’ve backed Geelong with a 39.5 point deficit against the Blues but that line has moved to 46.5 and the value has gone in my eyes.
Collingwood vs Western Bulldogs is an intriguing one at the G on Sunday.
The Pies are the talk of the town after following up their convincing win over the Lions (the Lions!) in round 8 by beating Geelong after flying out of the blocks in the first quarter, after which they held a lead of 44 points.
That means the Cats won the final three quarters by a total of 20 points so although I did not see the game this fact along with them having one fewer scoring shot and 8 fewer inside 50’s suggests the Pies might have been overrated for the win.
The Bulldogs impress me every time I see them and they had the same amount of scoring shots and i50’s as GWS at their place last week which was a solid effort in defeat. If they turn up with their A game they should take this by the three goals required.