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AFL: West Coast v Collingwood - Stats, Trends and Tips
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By Tom Sermani

 

West Coast v Collingwood

 

West Coast (since 2012 in brackets)

S/U: 10/8 (34/28)

ATS: 6/12 (27/37)

Twilight: 2/3 

Twilight ATS: 2/3 (6/8)

Patersons S/U: 4/4

Patersons ATS: 2/6 (13/20)

7 day + break: 8/6

7 day + break ATS: 5/9 (18/25)

Q1 S/U: 10/8

1H S/U: 10/8

  

Over/Under

O/U: 7/11 (32/33)

Patersons: 3/5 (18/15)

7 day + break: 5/9 (23/30)

Twilight: 2/3 (3/11)

1Q: 10/8

1H: 8/10

 

Points

Average scored: 87.5

Average conceded: 80.8

Average Total: 168.3 

Average Points Line: 177

Average Scored at Patersons: 77.4

Average Conceded at Patersons: 78.5

Average Total at Patersons: 155.9 

Average Points Line at Patersons: 171.9

 

Notable Trends:

The Eagles are 6/12 ATS overall in 2014, 2/6 at Patersons Stadium and 5/9 off a long break. All these trends are backed up by the records in the same categories since 2012. 

They are 5/9 to the under off a 7+ day break and 3/11 in twilight games since 2012. 

 

 

Collingwood (since 2012 in brackets)

S/U: 10/8 (40/22)

ATS: 8/10 (27/39)

Twilight: 2/2

Twilight ATS: 1/3 (6/10) 

Interstate S/U: 1/2

Interstate ATS: 1/2 (7/7)

7 day + break: 7/4 

7 day + break ATS: 5/6 (20/24)

Q1 S/U: 10/8

1H S/U: 10/8

 

Over/Under

O/U: 7/11 (24/43)

Interstate: 0/3 (1/13)

7 day + break: 3/8 (16/29)

Twilight: 2/2 (5/11)

1Q: 10/8

1H: 6/12

 

Points

Average scored: 84.2

Average conceded: 79.9

Average Total: 164.2

Average Points Line: 176

 

 

Notable Trends:

Collingwood are a strong unders team at 24/43 since the start of the 2012 season. They are 0/3 interstate in 2014 and 1/13 since 2012 and 3/8 off a 7+ day break and 16/29 since 2012. 

 

 

Verdict and Tips:

This has all the makings of a close contest and even with a lowish points line of 170.5 I still like the unders. 

1 unit either team to win by 15 points or less in the Tri Bet market at $2.60 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

1 unit under 84.5 first half points at $1.90 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

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