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AFL: West Coast v Richmond - Betting Preview and Tips
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By Tom Sermani @tom_sermani

 

The second half of the truncated round 18 gets underway at Patersons Stadium on Friday night when the West Coast Eagles take on the Richmond Tigers. 

The Tigers are coming off their third win on the spin, a 126 – 106 victory over Port Adelaide. The Eagles also won their last match, against the Lions at the Gabba and before that had put up fair showings in defeats to Sydney and Fremantle. 

 

West Coast (since 2012 in brackets)

S/U: 7/9 (31/29)

ATS: 5/11 (26/36)

Night S/U: 1/3 

Night ATS: 0/4 (4/11)

Patersons S/U: 2/5

Patersons ATS: 2/5

7 day + break S/U: 5/7

7 day + break ATS: 5/7 (18/23)

 

Over/Under

O/U: 6/10 (31/31)

Patersons: 3/4

7 day + break: 4/8 (22/19)

Night: 0/4 (3/12)

0-15 point favourites ATS: 0/5 (4/8)

 

Points

Average scored: 87.3

Average conceded: 80.7

Average Total: 168

Average Points Line: 177.1

Average Scored at Patersons: 82.4

Average Conceded at Patersons: 81.2

Average Points Total at Patersons: 163.6

Average Points Line at Patersons: 171.9

Q1 S/U : 10/6

1H S/U: 9/7

Q1 at Patersons: 3/4

1H at Patersons: 4/3

 

Notable Trends:

West Coast have a poor record at the spread in night games of 0/4 in 2014 and 4/11 since 2012 and are 0/5 as 0-15 point favs in 2014. They are also a decent unders team in 2014 at 6/10 and at night 0/4 (3/12 since 2012) and are 4/8 to the unders off a 7+ day break. 

 

 

 

Richmond (since 2012 in brackets)

S/U: 6/10 (31/38)

ATS: 8/8 (32/29)

Night S/U: 2/5

Night ATS: 3/4 (11/10)

Interstate S/U: 2/1

Interstate ATS: 2/1 (8/7)

7 day + break S/U: 5/6

7 day + break ATS: 5/6 (23/22)

0-15 point underdogs ATS: 1/2 (3/5)

 

Over/Under

O/U: 7/9 (24/37)

Interstate: 1/2 (4/11)

7 day + break: 6/5 (21/24)

Night: 3/4 (10/11)

 

Points

Average scored: 87.4

Average conceded: 87.3

Average Total: 167.7

Average Points Line: 177.8

Q1 S/U: 9/7

1H S/U: 9/7

 

Notable Trends:

Richmond are 4/11 to the unders since 2012. 

 

 

 

Verdict and Tips:

Richmond don’t get to play at Patersons against West Coast very often, just five times since 2007 for a 2-3 record but they performed with credit there in 2013 with a win against the Eagles and a 1 point loss to Fremantle.

The trends suggest we should oppose West Coast at the line and side with the unders. The average total points scored at Patersons in 2014 is 153.6 and the average half time total is 72.9. 

Tips:

1 unit Richmond +11.5 at $1.91 with Screenshot 2014-06-13 14.59.08

1 unit under 174.5 at $1.88 with Screenshot 2014-06-06 12.59.13

1.5 unit under 86.5 1st half points at $1.88 with Screenshot 2014-06-06 12.59.13

 

 

 

 

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