Until I checked the stats I was thinking about a bet on the Doggies to cause an upset here. They’ve played some seriously good footy in 2015 so we should not take too much stock in their loss to the Saints last week.
However, the Dockers off a long break, as favourites and on their travels is an extremely strong combination.
They are an incredible 17/1 ATS since the start of last season off the long break and 40/14 since 2012.
They are 16/5 as interstate favourite and 33/16 as favourite overall since 2012.
The Dogs stats don’t point one way or the other.
1.5 units Fremantle -22.5 with (UK version) The -23.5 around is still good value.