A nice winner yesterday to get us back moving in the right direction when Portland took down Oklahoma at odds of $4.11.
Three for today.
We are backing the Thunder despite their defeat yesterday to Portland (opposing the recency bias) and also siding with the Clippers to beat the Warriors at big odds.
Steph Curry is out for the Warriors and that has seen their odds tumble from around $13 into $7 but statistically this could be in our favour as if you’d backed all away teams at $10+ since 2009 you’d be 158 units down from 464 bets (-34% ROI – brutal) but if you’d backed all away teams between the odds of $7 and $9.99 you’d be up 116 units from 564 bets (+21% ROI).
1 unit Oklahoma at $2.65 with Pinnacle
0.66 units Atlanta to beat Denver at $4.61 with Pinnacle
0.5 units LA Clippers to beat Golden State Warriors at $7.5 with UNIBET