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Plenty for us today, mostly above our average win price but don’t let that put you off. Averages are a bit misleading like that; a useful aggregate when looking back at things but they don’t tell the story of our ups and downs. Have a flutter on these:

 

 

Championship

We’re opposing some good teams at home here, hence the prices. This division seems to have tightened up, with all sorts of surprise performances and results: Nottingham Forest beating Brighton, Bristol City nearly beating Newcastle being two recent examples. Don’t be surprised at Newcastle’s uncanny knack of scoring obscene flukes that would be funny if they weren’t so important to their poorer rivals who are trying to keep up with them. They could be tested by a decent Fulham side today and, for a change, it’s not our own BetDetective that opposes them, but we do here. 

 

Also, while Leeds are clearly one of the best in the class, they too have come unstuck at home in certain games, and QPR’s Ian Holloway will know how he wants to approach the game. They’ve fared well at good sides since he came in, while Leeds have looked a bit rigid when things don’t go their way at Elland Road. 

 

Norwich have just sacked their manager, Alex Neil, and probably not before time. Something’s wrong with them as their performances are so erratic, with a clear distinction between home and away. All but Rotherham down the bottom of the table have proven themselves against decent opponents since January, and Blackburn could just do a job on them here. After all, they did at Newcastle earlier on. 

 

Finally, a nervy one between two in the basement at Wigan, who have really proven themselves resilient and effective in recent times, though perhaps more away than at home. Bristol City haven’t won in an age, but they’re seldom well beaten, have their excellent striker back in the side, and will be trying to win. I think they might.

 

Leeds v QPR  $4.65 

 

Newcastle v FULHAM  $4.69 Screenshot 2014-05-03 15.52.18

 

Norwich v BLACKBURN   $5.30 

 

Wigan v BRISTOL CITY  $3.02 Screenshot 2014-05-03 15.52.18

 

 

 

  

League One

As Sod’s Law decrees, the only game Walsall have lost recently was the one in which we backed them, and they’re fancied again at an uncertain Charlton, whose eye-catching win at home to Scunthorpe last time out was as much due to the opponent as themselves. Elsewhere, Rochdale continue to confound popular opinion in the game, refusing to lie down to excellent Sheffield United last week, though they haven’t won in eons. They’re a tough nut to crack away from home though – ask Fleetwood and Bolton too – and could break their duck at an improving MK Dons.

Charlton v WALSALL  $3.54 Screenshot 2014-05-03 15.52.18

 

MK Dons v ROCHDALE $3.36 Screenshot 2014-05-03 15.52.18

 

 

 

League Two

Barnet v CRAWLEY $4.21 Screenshot 2014-05-03 15.52.18

 

Luton v STEVENAGE $4.96 Screenshot 2014-05-03 15.52.18

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