Nothing for us in the lower two divs this week as it’s round two of the FA Cup, and we drink not from the Cup. The Championship’s an absolute trough for us though. This league confounded us with last week’s blank, and then insulted us for not being with Wigan at Huddersfield and Wolves at QPR during the week. And Nottingham Forest have just beaten the best team in the league, Newcastle at $5. The Geordies had two men sent off in the first half, Forest missed two penalties, and then scored “two of the shittest goals you will ever see” (according to my brother, who had backed them). The Championship can do that too, so don’t be surprised at any outcome.
So much for then and now, there is always tomorrow. The prices on offer for loads of away sides seriously underrate their actual chances here. A lot of our bets lately have been around the $4 mark, and today is no different. There must be eighteen teams that are of a standard in this league – results and relative points totals bear that out, so it’s hard to fathom such favouritism in the markets. It’s not that we’re being bolder in our selections; let’s hope it’s the layers who are, with their prices. We’d have all of these at less than the odds quoted:
Birmingham v BARNSLEY
Birmingham have put in a couple of ropey performances of late, which betray their results a little. Barnsley can be anything, but they cause all teams problems and could score here.
Back Barnsley at $3.84 with
Bristol City v IPSWICH
This one looks roughly of equal probability the three results, and you know what we do with those when the away side’s bigger than $3.
Reading have won five on the bounce to sit third in the table, and have seriously ridden their luck in achieving that. However, they shouldn’t be $4 to win at Fulham, who are a good side, but wobbly at home.
Norwich have had a shocking time of it, and I’m not sure they’re ready to put it behind them. Brentford have had a few problems of their own, but remain effective away. They’ll make chances to score, so the win is not beyond them.
Preston are an enormous price to nick this at a misfiring Wednesday who will be without Gary Hooper to stick the ball in the net. Not that they haven’t got options, but Carlos Carvalho doesn’t know what his best team is yet, and Preston will be tricky.