“Whoops I did it again” sang Britney Spears and so have I, though not in the sense of leading a bloke on with sexual wiles, nor with such grammatical inaccuracy. No, but another hatful of value picks from the bookies’ shelves just can’t be resisted. Last week we had one game called off so, in the event, had five winners from eleven and very nice too. But never mind that; here are the next:
Fri 16th Jan
Cheltenham v Morecambe
Cheltenham will improve under Paul Buckle but Morecambe are a great bet to continue their super away form at $3.35 with
Sat 17th Jan
Wigan v Blackburn
Wigan had a bad day when letting us down at Birmingham last week, as did Blackburn when obliging us by losing to Wolves. Neither team is playing to its full potential, but I make the potential of Rovers marginally better than their opponents.
Blackburn at greater than $3 (any less, leave it alone). They are $3.03 with so grab that price while it lasts.
Brighton v Brentford
Painful as this truth is, Brentford are a great bet here. They were very unlucky to lose the cup match against the same opponent a couple of weeks ago, but don’t be fooled by that: Brighton still have a lot to prove. Back Brentford at $3.71 with
Sheffield Wednesday v Bolton
If Fortune favours the brave like my mum always says it does then Bolton will win this, for Wednesday are one of the division’s few sides in really good form. They’re better away from Hillsborough though, and Wanderers could well unsettle them and win. The $4.06 for the away side with is terrific value in a fairly even match up. (Blame my mum if they don’t win.)
Watford v Charlton
If Fortune really does favour the brave then let’s hope she doesn’t draw to much of a distinction between courage and stupidity. I have to back Charlton here. They were the better side for the first half hour at Ipswich recently, didn’t look bad against Brighton and were unlucky to lose. Watford have one of the best squads in the division but haven’t convinced in a few of their recent games. They’re beatable and bankable at $5.88 with
Doncaster v Barnsley
Barnsley haven’t played badly in any of their last six, and the results in some of those belie their performances while Donny have looked below par in their last couple. Barnsley should be much shorter than the $4 offered by
MK Dons v Sheffield United
Just a few weeks ago, I sat listening to the commentary of the reverse fixture when United absolutely battered the same opponent and lost one nil to a late goal (and oh how I celebrated that). United are one of the best teams in this division, so shouldn’t be anywhere near the $4.15laid by to beat anyone. Tuck in.
Notts Co v Crewe
At this moment in time Crewe are a more advanced outfit than County. That’s a rotten sentence which means nothing, but I stick by it. Back Crewe at $3.40 with
AFC Wimbledon v Carlisle
Carlisle aren’t exactly on the cusp of greatness but they’ve played well in all but one of their last few games and look to have a bit about them under Keith Curle. They’ll need things to go their way to win this one, but there’s a better chance of that happening than suggested by‘s quote of $3.58for the away win.
Bury v Wycombe
Wycombe shouldn’t be bigger than $3.10 for this, but they are $3.20 with so take that.
Plymouth v Luton
Luton have drifted in the betting late on, and sneak into the scope of our bets as a result. They’ve played really well against better sides than Plymouth in their last couple, who themselves haven’t been doing so well. Their boss was very unhappy with them after a duff display against ten men at York, and there are hints of disunity in the squad. But this isn’t a gossip column: back Luton at $3.10 with
Tranmere v Accrington
Offer tickets to this match as a raffle prize and you won’t have any trouble turning the old tombola. It’s something to do with the names of the clubs, unfair though that seems. But i’d be a willing spectator of this match as both sides have played really well in a lot of their recent games. The three possible outcomes are of roughly equal probability, for which reason Accrington should be backed at $3.43 with
York v Stevenage
After much agony, deliberation, self-loathing, and doubt, the conclusion is that the emotional rollercoaster was merely a result of having had twelve bets already. These are two sides who have improved tremendously in the last month or so, and it’s hard to choose between them. So, back Stevenage to win at $3.30 with