Apologies to our regular followers for reiterating what you’ve read here before, but we do so for the benefit of our new punters.
The opening week’s results turned out badly for us, but this isn’t so surprising given that we generally back the unfancied away team; the outsider of two as it were. We do this knowing that most of our bets will lose, and that with a strike rate of three winners in ten on average we will make a decent profit.
This “average”, however, isn’t much use to us week to week. We’ve had terrible spells and fantastic ones, and in the end look at averages to see how things aggregate out for us. But they don’t tell the story of how they get there. Exeter hit the woodwork twice, four of our picks drew and three lost from winning positions. With 25 minutes to play we were looking at a good day. You know the rest.
Fact is, the ride is like a rickety old rollercoaster in a jaded seaside resort in England; most people give it a miss and those who get on ask themselves ‘why?’ at every nasty turn. And quite right too. Follow us with a good understanding of this. It’s mystifying that fortune can vary so wildly in this game, but the ups and downs span 1500 recorded bets, so we don’t anticipate this changing too much.
To this weekend then, and with marginally more to go on than we had in the opening week, we like: