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English Football League Picks 02/10/16 - @bparkprophecies
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  • English football picks to be settled at Pinnacle closing odds…

 

Dig deep into your pockets this weekend, friends. The bets are offering themselves up for the taking like the abundant apples on my allotment. And not unlike the bets, the odd one turns out to be rotten and they all get shared amongst friends. That’s about as far as we can go with that one so here they all are, maggots and all:
CHAMPIONSHIP
Birmingham v Blackburn
Rovers started the season in bad shape with their team not entirely in place, effectively giving the rest of the field a head start on the season. They’ve found their stride a bit in recent weeks, however, with some competitive performances against good sides. Winning at Birmingham is not beyond them at the moment, so take $4 on the away win.
Brentford v Wigan DRAW
I looked long and hard at this one until my partner expressed some concern at my face. Wigan are too short to back, but I fancy them to do something at a very good Brentford side. Both teams to score is way too skinny, so we find ourselves breaking the mould and backing the draw at $3.6
Bristol City v Nottingham Forest
City’s resilience at home is proven, as they’ve generally outscored opponents there in the second half, which is just when Forest have been giving up the ghost. Not a great coincidence of trends as far as Forest goes; but managers are aware of these better than anybody, and make changes. The fact is that there is little to choose between these two at kick-off, which makes Forest a good bet at $4
Fulham vQPR
QPR’s price has gone out since the story that their manager, Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink, was filmed in negotiations with undercover journalists on something snide. It will have little bearing on the team, for whom it is a good time to be playing a derby against faltering Fulham. They’re very long at $4
Leeds v Barnsley
Leeds and Barnsley lie spitting distance apart, as their residents routinely demonstrate. Their form is not so approximate though, and it’s hard to see why Barnsley are as big as $3.7 so that’s the recommendation.
LEAGUE 1
Bolton v Oxford
Another match priced up on the relative historical status of the two clubs. That’s not to say Bolton are a bad side, but they do leak chances at home and Oxford could pose them some problems. They are the bet at $4
Charlton v Rochdale
Rochdale, like Accrington and Morecambe, often make their way on to our coupons and you can be forgiven for thinking I’ve got a fixation with small town clubs up north with historically shit football teams, but I haven’t. It’s just that this very fact routinely gives their opponents a bias in the betting, making them the value alternative. Of course, we can’t get attached to this principle alone and they’re up a Charlton side which is hard to fathom. Goals at both ends are fancied, which means it could go either way: Rochdale at $3.6
Northampton v Bristol Rovers
Not much has been separating either of these from their opponents, generally. Rovers were unlucky to lose at decent Sheffield United on Wednesday, so this looks close. Rovers just get the nod at $3.25
LEAGUE 2
Cambridge v Accrington
Take Accrington at a minimum of $3.1
Grimsby v Hartlepool
This one has had me scratching all kinds of obscure recesses about my anatomy as I evaluate whether or not to back Hartlepool, and finally I have. While I go and wash my hands, you do the same at a large $4.4 courtesy of
Notts County v Morecambe
Morecambe have won their last three aways and County have conceded five in their equivalent homes, so quite why Morecambe are $4.3 is baffling. Take that with
Wycombe v Exeter
Inconsistency is a trait shared by these two so far, but it’s likely that Exeter will create more chances. That makes them worth our money at $3.1

 

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