It’s true that we choose our bets here according to a few core principles, which are too boring to go into now.
There are times during a season, though, when adhering dogmatically to a principle would surely see anyone come a cropper.
Times like this, in fact, when the player transfer window has transformed entire squads, new managers have taken charge of many of them, and the team at the top of the entire championship has just played like eleven headless androids as yet unaccustomed to gravity and the concept of a moving sphere.
Yes, Brighton were candles in the wind at Huddersfield on Thursday night (GMT), yet there they sit at the top of the English Football League as though they were any good.
It makes you wonder how good any of those teams beneath them can be. These are questions we’ll never answer, but I have my doubts. Awesome, frightening Newcastle, with their Premier League quality squad were wasteful in the extreme at home to average QPR on Wednesday, and got their just desserts when putting one in their own net right at the end. They’re in our sights this week, among these:
Blackburn v QPR
There’s no doubt that Blackburn are improving, as are their opponents. And given Rangers’ recent showings, it’s strange to see them as second favourite here, so we’ll back them at $3.25with
Bristol C v ROTHERHAM
Six times I’ve backed Rotherham this season, and they’ve been steadfastly reliable in letting me down each time. Never mind – they should never be this price to win at Bristol City: $5.75with
Newcastle v DERBY
This should be a good, and close game. That alone makes Derby a bet at $4.95with