Over five units profit from our midweek picks and something similar this weekend will do very nicely thank you please.
Aston Villa vs Cardiff
Villa have started to get a few results since Steve Bruce took over as manager but my numbers suggest that their performances haven’t improved a whole lot, however, they weren’t as bad as results indicated early in the season either.
Similarly, Cardiff’s results have improved since Colin Wanker took the reigns and both teams now have managers in place who know what it takes to get a side out of this division and into the big time.
Villa have forwards Ross McCormack and Gabi Agbonlahor doubtful while Cardiff should field an unchanged side to the one that beat Huddersfield in their last match.
At the odds Cardiff are great value to nick a win at Villa Park.
Back Cardiff at $5.20 with
Brighton vs Fulham
Brighton have the best home record in the Championship and Fulham the 2nd best record on the road. The Seagulls have pushed their luck a bit in their last three home games averaging only 9 shots on goal and 11 shots with 7 on target in their 5-0 win against Norwich makes the final score look very flattering.
I’m happy to take a chance on Fulham who have conceded just six times in eight away games.
The entertaining – possibly to soon become annoying – Ian Holloway has taken over again at QPR and they should have enough to give Ipswich plenty of problems at Portman Road as they’ve been a better away team than home this term. Ipswich have a good performance in them but their stinkers are more common.
Bury had two men sent off in midweek when we backed them at a massive price to beat Sheffield United so did well to keep the margin down to a single goal scored in injury time in what was clearly a very one sided affair.
Another managerial change saw Chris Brass take over at Bury and despite nine losses on the spin he might have a bit more to work with than first appears. In their last home game which they lost 4-1 to Southend they had 21 shots and average 16 at home this season which is comfortably above average. They concede 10 shots per game which is only fractionally over the average so I wouldn’t be surprised to see Bury win a couple of matches in the next few weeks. Hopefully if they do, we’ll be on.