My first foray into the round ball football punting sphere of the season is born purely out of the Spurs vs Liverpool match being live on SBS at 9.30pm tonight so hopefully I’ll be in a good mood following GWS covering the spread against North Melbourne and i’ll be up for watching the game.
The prices my model spat out for this match using this season’s and last season’s numbers were:
Spurs can be backed at $2.50.
Looking at Spurs at home against top six sides since the start of the 14/15 season we see they’ve won 4 from 10 for a level stakes profit of 4.1 units.
Liverpool away from home against top six sides in the same period have won two from 11 for -3.9 units.
A total of five of the 21 matches ended in a draw.
Seven of the 10 Spurs games went over 2.5 goals and seven of the 11 Liverpool games went over 2.5 goals.
Enough pointers to Spurs and overs there for me to get involved. I just hope i can stay awake long enough to watch it.