By Rob Cocozza
Last season’s results (03/04/14 – 28/5/14):
Profit: 46.08 units
Last week’s results
Profit: 4.79 units
A great start to the season last week with close to five units profit from nine bets in L1 and L2.
They’re back in action then, and so are we. To recap, the last game coincided with the final flurry of transfer activity at the deadline, so new acquaintances have had two weeks without a game to get to know each other. Consider this, and that most squads have undergone serious transformation since the summer, and form seems less relevant than usual. They’ve only played five games, after all. Having had shocking starts, the likes of Blackpool and Fulham will have welcomed the break as a natural point at which to draw a line in the sand, psychologically as much as anything. What differences any of this makes is anyone’s guess, but it makes for an intriguing set of fixtures and a load of bets.
Dougie Freedman has always come across as an honest man of sound judgement as football managers go, but he’s started sounding like the rest of them with proud defence of his team’s awful start to the season. Wednesday might not be wanted by an Azerbaijani businessman any more, but that shouldn’t bother the players, who have been decent so far.
I don’t often bet at less than $3 on away teams, yet am going for the Seagulls to outclass Brentford and match them in combat at a Griffin Park that will be packed to the rafters.
Take Brighton at no less than $2.8 currently on offer with
Millwall were really impressive at Sheffield Wednesday a few weeks ago, and I’ve a feeling that their manager is particularly canny at planning for away games. And Ipswich haven’t been good enough at home yet for Millwall to be as big as $3.87 with
After thinking long and hard about Leeds’ chances at Birmingham, and Blackpool’s at home to Wolves, I’ve decided to leave them alone. This is partly due to the lack of leadership at those clubs faced with teams who do at least have stable management and relatively settled sides.
Yeovil look a good bet against a Coventry who looked vulnerable when edging out Gillingham in their first game back in their city. Yeovil were excellent at Bradford in their last match, so have them at $3.20 thanks to
United have improved under Nigel Clough but often seem inhibited at home. Rochdale are one of a few sides in the division who could bring that about and beat them. They’ve already been backed, but $4.50 is still reasonable from
It’s hard to see anything between these two teams on their showings so far. Neither have played well for a whole game, so any result could happen here. $3.35 for Portsmouth with is decent enough for them.