By Rob Cocozza
“I hate quotation. Tell me what you know,” wrote Ralph Waldo Emerson. Trouble is Ralph, I know nothing and hence resort to quotation. Picking these bets every week is essentially guesswork. Nobody knows that Accrington Stanley will beat Stevenage Borough, but they stand more chance of doing so than Bet365’s $3.50 to my dollar. What is certain is the unpredictable nature of results in these three divisions of the English league. The tables are tight, and that makes it prudent to have more bets on outsiders per se. Prudent might not be the word.
Fri 17th Oct
Rotherham v Leeds
Leeds are way too big at $3.75 with for this one so take them. Sod’s Law may well decree that their former favourite Luciano Becchio scores a hat-trick against them for his new club – but we cannot be swayed by that.
Birmingham v Bolton
Pity for Dougie Freedman who lost his job over Bolton’s awful start this season. The fact that they’ve played well in some games is obscured by their rotten run of results. Expect them to be rejuvenated in front of their new gaffer and beat the Blues of Birmingham.
Bolton at $3.35 with
Bournemouth v Charlton
Charlton obliged at an uncanny $7 quote at Norwich in their last away match, but the bookies see that as a fluke. They have certainly proven resilient in defence this season, and pretty nifty on the break at home and away. The Cherries are an excellent team, but not infallible. Charlton to pip them at $5.50 with should be backed.
Huddersfield v Blackpool
Blackpool are very over-priced to win this match between two unreliably performing teams. Anything could happen here, and I make the away win almost as probable as the other possible outcomes. Blackpool at $5.08 with is the bet.
Sheffield Wednesday v Watford
Watford as a club are all over the place given the lack of a manager who lasts more than five minutes, but it hasn’t bothered their rather superb squad so far. Take them at $3.48 with
Wigan v Brentford
Another close match up on form, and hard to have a strong feeling for a result. Brentford’s $4.07 quote with just doesn’t make sense, so have some of that.
Peterborough v Barnsley
Peterborough can annihilate teams on their day, though they haven’t been exactly ruthless recently. Barnsley were in the second half against a decent Bradford the other day, and Danny Wilson could yet preside over a team that challenges for promotion. They shouldn’t be as big as $4.3 on offer from
Burton v Morecambe
This could be a good time to be playing Burton, who have struggled a bit since lacking certain players through injury. Morecambe were really professional in winning at Southend last time away and have run other good teams close. Have a bet on them at $4.75 with
Stevenage v Accrington
The home side is another that looks a shadow of itself with a few key players out, and Accrington are a good bet to put their last weak showing behind them by scoring a couple here. Back them to win at $3.5 with
Wycombe v AFC Wimbledon
Wycombe are top of the league but their last few home games have been close affairs. The Dons heavy defeat at Newport has probably effected their price here, as they’re usually competitive on the road. $3.85 with appeals.