Beware the wounded animal. The away team’s price has been inflated to bursting point by their hammering at home to Bournemouth last week. We’re following the analysis of a week ago by our own Bet Detective: teams often bounce back from a hammering. And let’s not forget that Birmingham had their keeper sent off after a few minutes before capitulating so dreadfully. They’ll be playing in front of their new manager, and against local rivals this time. A tighter game will ensue, and $7 with for them to win is ludicrous.
Wigan v Fulham
Two strong squads who have recently recovered from appalling starts. Wigan did us proud in turning over Derby away with an excellent performance, and Fulham are a different proposition under Kit Symons. An even match up makes $3.5 about Fulham with for them to prevail a decent bet.
Bristol City v Oldham
As the last unbeaten team in the entire league, City will face another stern test to preserve that record when facing Oldham, whose performances have been as consistent as their own. Consecutive two-all draws suggest that City’s record is tenuous, and Oldham to break it at $2.70 with is reasonable.
Crawley v Crewe
Two unconvincing teams could conspire to produce any of the three possible outcomes in equal measure here. Crewe, however, are showing signs of improvement. Take them at $3.51 with
Peterborough v Scunthorpe
The week’s second big outside bet is for Scunthorpe to continue their improvement by beating Peterborough. Don’t be put off by the league table here. Recent performances suggest that the Peterborough are not firing at their best, and a tight game could be played out. Scunthorpe at $6.5 with
Portsmouth v Carlisle
A lot of the value has gone from this league well in advance of kick off this time around. The only one that remains is Carlisle to turn over Portsmouth on their own patch. Pompey are improving, but more so away than at home: Carlisle at $3.6 gets my money, but don’t take shorter than that.