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Golf: AT&T Byron Nelson
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By Vince Eager

 

We got back in the winners’ circle on Sunday with $34 each way selection Chris Kirk doing the business for us. That makes 126 units profit on golf since we started tipping in March 2014. I hope some of you are making some money from the tips and having some fun along the way.

 

This week it’s the Byron Nelson played at TPC Four Seasons and the notable thing about previous winners here is that in four of the last five years we’ve seen 100/1+ winners with all of them being first time winners on tour.

 

 

 

Course: TPC Four Seasons Resort, Irving, Texas

Course Architect: Jay Morrish (1983), Ben Crenshaw/Byron Nelson

Par: 70

Yardage: 7,166

Acres of fairway: 35

Greens: Bentgrass; average size: 6,000 sq. ft.

Stimp: 10.5-11 ft.

 

 

 

 

Last 10 winners

2014

Brendon Todd

2013

Sang Moon Bae

2012

Jason Dufner

2011

Keegan Bradley

2010

Jason Day

2009

Rory Sabbatini

2008

Adam Scott

2007

Scott Verplank

2006

Brett Wetterich

2005

Ted Purdy

 

 

 

 

Screenshot 2015-02-04 10.24.28

When Brandt Snedeker hits form you get with him and stay with him until he wins or loses form. This method has served us well with Sneds winning for us in February at Pebble Beach. 

He finished 2nd to Kirk last week and could have won had he holed a couple of putts on the back nine. 

1 unit each way at $26 with Screenshot 2015-02-28 15.16.54

 

 

Screenshot 2015-05-27 09.28.04

Morgan Hoffman is is good form with figures reading 28, 9, 36, mc, 28 but it’s his performance in this event last year that sticks in the mind. He shot 68, 66, 68 and 73 and that round four score dropped him out of the top five to finish 16th. He finished 5th in 2013 so clearly goes well here. I like his chances. 

1 unit each way at $56 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

 

 

Screenshot 2015-05-27 09.23.34

It was a bit of a toss up between Justin Thomas and Daniel Berger as to who to put up here with the trend towards first time winners in this event and as Berger is more than twice the odds it was an easy decision.

.5 units each way at $81 with Screenshot 2014-05-27 08.55.43

 

 

Screenshot 2015-05-27 09.38.33

Charl Schwartzel’s current form is not the best but he has a habit of putting in good performances after a missed cut and he’s coming off a missed cut and and a week off. He has done well here with a 3rd place in 2013 and an 11th placed finish last year.

.5 units each way at $101 with Screenshot 2015-03-21 13.00.28

 

 

Screenshot 2015-05-27 09.43.24

Rod Pampling won last week on the Web.com tour just a few days after his Dad died. He tees it up here with an 8th placed finish to his name in 2011 and is worth a chance here at massive odds.

.25 units win at $300+ (he’s currently $310) with Screenshot 2015-05-27 09.46.48

.75 unit top 10 at $21 with Screenshot 2015-04-15 07.19.51

 

Screenshot 2015-05-27 09.48.22

One more bet this week and it’s on the 1st round leader market.

Boo Weekley is showing a tendency to start well before fading as the week progresses. He shot 64 in round one last week and the same opening score last month in the Zurich Classic.

.5 units each way 1st round leader at $81 with Screenshot 2015-03-21 13.00.28

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