Louis Oosthuizen and Brendan Todd share the lead at -10 going into the final round. One shot back and tied for 3rd are Mike Weir, James Hahn and Gary Woodland. There are a further seven players within 3 shots of the lead.
Louis Oosthuizen has led after three rounds 11 times on all tours in his career. He went on to win 6 of those tournaments for an excellent 54.5% conversion rate. One of those wins was in the 2010 Open Championship at St Andrews when he put on just about the best front running display I can remember.
Brendan Todd is unproven in these circumstances having led just twice in his career entering the final round, both on Web.com tour, winning once in the 2008 Utah Championship.
James Hahn has been in the top three going into round four on eight occasions, winning twice, both in 2009 on the Canadian tour.
Gary Woodland has been in the top three seven times in his career going into round 4 and he won three of those tournaments, all on the PGA Tour.
Mike Weir has been in the top 3 on the leaderboard going into the final round 25 times, winning 5 times. He’s not been in the top 20 entering the final round since the Deutche Bank Championship in September 2009.
Louis Oosthuizen has the best strike rate and at $5.0 with
he looks like reasonable value to hold on to his (shared) lead. Gary Woodland is the obvious danger while no-one would deny Mike Weir a return to the winner’s circle after a torrid five years. He’s $19 with to do just that.
We’ll be hoping for some place money at least from our $41 pre-tournament tip, Aussie Marc Leishman, but in reality there are a dozen or more contenders tomorrow on a bunched leaderboard.