It’s a four-way tie at the top of a bunched Crowne Plaza Invitational leader board with ten players within a single shot of the lead and no less than 24 players within three shots.
Hideki Matsuyama has only been in contention on the PGA Tour once in 24 starts, in February of this year in the Phoenix Open, when he was third going into round four, shot a 69 (average score for the field 70.55) and finished 4th.
Matsuyama has won five time on the Japan Tour and has led going into the final round four times, going on to convert three of those leads to tournament victories.
Co-leader David Toms was in 2nd place going into round four at this very tournament in 2011 and shot a 67 (average field score 71.83) to take the title a week after losing in a playoff at the Players Championship.
Toms has not led at the end of round three since the Sony Open of 2006 but when he has led in his career his record is enviable, with seven tournaments won from 10 leads going into round 4.
Chad Campbell has a decent record from a final round lead too with five victories from nine leads and not slipping out of the top two in any of those nine tournaments. This is the first post round three lead he’s held since 2009.
Chris Stroud has led once in his career going into the final round, on the Asian PGA Tour in October 2013 and he slipped from 1st place to third after shooting a 71 (ave score 71.67). He’s been in 2nd place six times and each time has finished 5th or worse.
The best value of these would have to be David Toms at $12 with but with so many players in contention you couldn’t be confident about any of them.