“Patrick has come back into form and hits the much-desired draw (Kaymer ruined his game in the quest) and yet for ball flight I can’t have him.”
The perils of prediction perfectly illustrated in a single sentence about, our man, my buddy Patrick, a stable boy written off at Augusta because of ball flight! Who knew he was working on a heli-fade? Who knew health care was so complicated?
Of course Rory was riding to the rescue, even if we couldn’t get the 20’s…oh dear.
I’m over it.
To the Colonial with all its preconceptions about wind and…ball flight.
Spieth makes the market here to an extent at single figures and despite his awesome record any desire to back him has to seen in the context of his weapon…the putter. And he just keep on missing. He’ll no doubt turn it around but at 9/1 I’m not guessing when.
Lots of notable top class absentees in Rory who’s at the BMW in England – I’ll be there offering any advice, Dustbin and new World number one Justin Thomas.
As for Colonial a Par 70 at just over 7,200 yards it’s the polar opposite of Trinity last week being tight at 28 yards on average fairway width (Trinity was measured in furlongs) and tree lined with small greens.
The forecast is for light winds unusually so this brings in a host of others who may not have been able to control their ball quite as well.
My shortlist included the likes of Rory (Sabbatini), Streelman, English, O’Hair and Grillo – not so short then.
Bryson DeChambeau 1pt win at $44
Xander Schauffele 1pt win at $55
Ryan Palmer 1pt win at $160
At the Masters…”Bryson DeChambeau is a stable star of ours and comes here in fine form. He’s 31st in strokes gained approaching the green and 128th in stokes gained putting – seasonally. Hardly sets the world on fire given we’re always trying to make a case for players based on performance. What isn’t revealed but these numbers are his most recent efforts and that includes chasing home a rampant Rory at the Arnie P. Not an isolated effort either as he posted a T5 at the Waste Management and a T7 at the Shriners. DeChambeau can be DeShambles but he does things his way and when on looks a world class player. He has a solid debut effort (T21) in 2016 ruined by a few horror holes and is a much better player trending in the right direction. Easy to envisage being in contention and at 80/1 fixed and bigger on the exchanges carries ours.”
DeChambeau failed to set Augusta on fire but he is in fine form with a 2nd, 3rd and 4th in his last 5 starts. He’s hitting fairways and greens for fun and crucially his robotic putting method is working.
At the Masters…”Xander Schauffele hails from our stable as well and will need to become just the 2nd first time winner at Augusta (bar the very first winner). Schauffele’s form isn’t all that but it’s hardly sloppy with his Tour Championship win last year, 26th in the world rankings and some solid results over the last 3 months in a limited schedule. Schauffele’s game with his length and ball flight look ideally suited to Augusta. Yes he’ll have to overcome the excitement of being at Augusta – but comes across as very laid back and mature – and his lack of experience but someone has to win first up since Fuzzy in ’79 and this guy could be it. Generally 100/1 fixed there’s much bigger on the exchanges.”
So he didn’t figure at Augusta and that of course was always the chance but the underlying reasoning remains…a quality player in form who has since finished 2nd at the Players! One lowly appearance at Fort Worth aside this guy has two tour wins to his name very early in his career.
Ryan Palmer’s 2018 form leaves a little to be desired but three time tour winner does have serious form at Colonial with three top 5’s in his last six starts. Those memories allied to being a member should stand him in good stead. He did find something at The Players with his final three rounds all in the 60’s and backed that up with an opening 68 at the A T & T before a disappointing 73 saw him miss the cut. If we focus on those four consecutive rounds in the 60’s, a collective 14 under, his form starts to look really promising.