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Golf: The Honda Classic
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By Vince Eager

 

 

Another stupidly ‘unlucky’ week for our bets, with four of our five tips within three shots of the lead going into the final round and $81 tip Sang Moon Bae joint leader with 6 holes to play. Bae needed to birdie the par five 17th and par the final hole to go into a play off. He parred the long hole and bogeyed the 18th to finish out of the places, while Jordan Spieth cost us a full place payout by bogeying 18! 

 

We’ll keep knocking on the door and very soon it will stay open long enough for us to collect. 

 

 

 

On to the Honda Classic.

This is a very tough par 70 – think US Open conditions, with penal rough, bunkering and water hazards. Wind and rain are forecast to make things even tougher. 

There have been some huge priced winners of this event in recent years including Russell Henley at 200/1 last year. We’ll go with one from the shorter priced players and some speculative e/w picks at big odds. 

 

 

 

Course: PGA National Resort & Spa (Champion Course), Palm Beach Gardens, Florida

Course Architect: Tom and George Fazio (1981), Jack Nicklaus (1990, 2002, 2013)

Par: 70

 

 

 

 

 

 

Yardage: 7,140

 

 

 

 

 

 

Acres of fairway: 27

 

 

 

 

 

 

Greens: Tifeagle bermudagrass; average size: 6,400 sq. ft.

 

 

 

Stimp: 11-11.5 ft.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Last 10 winners

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

2014

Russell Henley

 

 

 

 

 

 

2013

Michael Thompson

 

 

 

 

 

 

2012

Rory McIlroy

 

 

 

 

 

 

2011

Rory Sabbatini

 

 

 

 

 

 

2010

Camilo Villegas

 

 

 

 

 

 

2009

YE Yang

 

 

 

 

 

 

2008

Ernie Els

 

 

 

 

 

 

2007

Mark Wilson

 

 

 

 

 

 

2006

Luke Donald

 

 

 

 

 

 

2005

Padraig Harrington

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Screenshot 2015-02-25 20.52.40

Justin Rose’s form figures here before he missed the event last year were 3, 5, 4. Rory Mcilroy could be a touch rusty, despite immaculate credentials, and Rose has a US Open title to his name too. 

1 unit each way at $26 with Screenshot 2014-05-27 08.55.43

 

 

 

 

 

Screenshot 2015-02-25 20.54.57

Robert Streb was one of the most consistent players on the PGA Tour before taking a couple of weeks off, in which time he became a Dad (a big positive, google ‘nappy factor golf’ for more info). He missed the cut last week but I expect him to win this year. His one attempt at the course resulted in an 18th placed finish. 

.75 units each way at $81 with Screenshot 2014-05-21 12.49.05

Screenshot 2015-02-25 21.04.36

Former US Open champion , Lucas Glover, has shown glimpses of returning to something like his best form in  recent weeks with two top 25 finishes. He finished 4th here in 2013 and could be worth a chance at massive odds if the conditions come up really tough, as expected.

.5 units each way at $251 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

 

 

 

 

 

Screenshot 2015-02-25 21.08.02

Erik Compton is selected at huge odds for one main reason. He comes to the fore on tough par 70 courses, like this one. He finished 4th here in 2013, alongside Glover, and was runner up in last years’ US Open. He’s missed his last three cuts, hence the huge odds.

.5 units each way at $251 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

 

 

 

 

 

Screenshot 2015-02-25 21.12.00

William McGirt is something of a first round leader specialist. He often starts with a low round only to tail off as the week goes on. His current form has a very progressive look to it reading 30, 21, 14 and he shot a 65 in round one last year at this event. 

.5 units e/w FIRST ROUND LEADER at $101 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10 and .5 units e/w at $151 with Screenshot 2014-10-14 14.37.22

 

 

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