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Golf: John Deere Classic - Betting Preview and Tips
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The PGA Tour juggernaut – or should that be tractor? – wheels into Illinois this week for the John Deere Classic. We are only a week away from the Open Championship so it’s no great surprise to see a lack of the very best players on tour as most are at the Scottish Open fine tuning their games for next week’s Major championship. 

It’s a bit of a surprise to see Jordan Spieth here as a week playing links style golf would have surely been a better Open prep for him but as defending champion here I suppose it’s good of him to show up. 

TPC Deere Run is one of the easiest tracks on the schedule and whoever wins this week will have made an aviary load of birdies.

Steve Stricker and Zach Johnson have dominated this event in recent years with four wins, two seconds and a third in the last five years between them.  Neither has been setting the world alight in recent weeks, however – although Stricker has been solid enough – and their combined market betting percentage of 16% improves the each way prices for the outsiders we are interested in. 

 

 

Course: TPC Deere Run, Silvis, Illinois Course

Architect: D.A. Weibring and Chris Gray (1999) 

Par: 71 Yardage: 7,268 yds Acres of fairway: 32 

Greens: Bentgrass; average size: 8,000 sq. ft Stimp: 11 ft 

 

Last 10 winners
   
2013 Jordan Spieth
2012 Zach Johnson
2011 Steve Stricker
2010 Steve Stricker
2009 Steve Stricker
2008 Kenny Perry
2007 Jonathan Byrd
2006 John Senden
2005 Sean O’Hair
2004 Mark Hensby
Oddy Oddy Oddy Recent and Course Form Ratings
     
Rank Player Rating Odds Bookmaker
1 Steve Stricker 90 $13 Sportingbet
2 Jordan Spieth 77.6 $12 Unibet
3 Chris Kirk 76.4 $36 Unibet
4 Billy Hurley 74 $56 Unibet
5 Robert Garrigus 69.8 $67 Ladbrokes
6 Zach Johnson 69.8 $15 Sportingbet
7 Ryan Moore 69.6 $23 Sportingbet
8 Brendon De Jonge 67.3 $51 Bet365
9 Alex Cejka 64.2 $126 Bet365
10 Jason Bohn 63.7 $91 Bet365

 

 

Bet 1:

Screenshot 2014-07-09 10.41.21

Alex Cejka plays mainly on the Web.com tour these days but he can get on a birdie roll as well as most and progressive recent form figures of 28, 12, 7 suggest that he could be up there in this weakened field which is not that much stronger than those he’s been facing on the secondary tour, where he’s already been in the winner’s circle this season. 

Cejka is $126 each way with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

 

 

Bet 2: 

Screenshot 2014-07-09 10.42.29

Jason Bohn caught the eye with an opening round of 65 last week at the Greenbriar where he went on to finish 11th. He’s already had a tied 2nd, a tied 3rd and a 4th placed finish this season and is another player who makes birdies with the best of them when on a roll. 

Bohn is $91 each way with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

 

 

Bet 3:

Screenshot 2014-07-09 10.54.55

A bit of a left field selection for our final bet comes in the shape of Troy Matteson – from outside of the ODDY ratings.

Matteson shot a 2nd round 61 completely out of the blue last week, following four missed cuts and just one top 10 all season. He finished 2nd in this event in 2012 after an opening round of 61 and also shot a 64 in round 2 when finishing 27th last year. It’s unlikely he’ll be in the mix on Sunday but he looks worth an interest in the first round leader market at long odds. 

Matteson is $126 each way for 1st round leader with Screenshot 2014-06-13 14.59.08

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