JB Holmes leads by a single shot going into tomorrow morning’s final round. Holmes has won twice in 186 career starts, both in the FBR Open, the first in 2006 and most recent in 2008.
It’s great to see him playing well after twice undergoing brain surgery in 2011.
In his first win in the FBR Open he stretched a one shot lead going into round 4 to a 7 shot winning margin with scores of 68, 64, 65 and 66.
His second win was less decisive, beating Phil Mickelson in a playoff after shooting a final round 71 to follow rounds of 68, 65 and 66. He took a 2 shot lead into round 4.
The last twice he’s been in contention he’s looked very shaky. He was 3 shots off the lead in the 2012 Greenbriar Classic but shot a 74 to finish 9 shots off the winner and in 2010 led by 1 going into round 4 of the Texas Open but shot 76 to follow 68, 70 and 66 to finish 13th and 6 shots behind the winner.
Holmes is there to be shot at tomorrow and his best available odds of $3.10 do not appeal.
One shot behind Holmes on -12 sits Martin Flores. He has yet to win in 99 PGA Tour starts and has also yet to win on the Web.com tour where he’s had 38 starts. He’s had 5 top 10 finishes on the PGA Tour and 4 top 10’s on the Web.com.
Flores has been in contention going into the final round twice on the PGA Tour, firstly in the 2010 Bob Hope Classic when a final round 72 saw him drop from 6th place and 3 shots behind the leader to 18th position and 10 shots behind the winner and most recently in the Crowne Plaza Invitational of May last year he was in 6th place going into round 4 and 2 shots behind the leader before a round of 71 saw him drop down to 14th position, 6 behind the winner.
He’s been within 4 shots of the 54 hole leader on 6 occasions and each time he went backwards in round 4.
Flores is a best price of $6.50 and at those odds i’ll pass.
Phil Mickelson shot a brilliant 9 under par round to finish 2 behind JB Holmes moving into round 4 and he’ll be very keen to keep up his record of recording at least one PGA Tour victory in each of the last 10 years by winning for the 1st time in 2014.
Mickelson has won 42 times in, well, a shit-load of starts on the PGA Tour.
He has gone into round four 2 shots behind the leader on 24 occasions and won 5 of those tournaments.
Big Phil is $3.95 with and that is a very nice price. I’d be much closer to $3.0 than that.