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NFL: Week 1 Betting Trends and Tips
free bets bet 365

 

by @thetrendbettor

 

Official Bets:

1u NYJ/BUF Over 40.5 points @ $1.96 (Sportsbet)

1u PHI/WAS Over 48 points @ $1.90 (Bet365)

1u OAK/TEN Over 50.5 points @ $1.90 (Bet365)

2u Texans -5 @ $1.96 (Sportsbet)

1u ARI/DET Over 48 points (Bet365)

3u Falcons -6 @ $1.94 (Sportsbet)

1u Bengals -3 @ $2 (Bet365)

1u PIT/CLE Under 46.5 points @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

1u Packers -3 @ 1.95 (Bet365)

1u CAR/SF Under 47.5 points @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

1u Giants +4 @ $1.86 (Bet365)

1u Chargers +3 @ $1.99 (Sportsbet)

 

Week 1 is the 2nd most predictable week of the season when compared to bookmakers’ lines. Deviating by 9.8 points per game on average since 2006.

The averaging winning margin in Week 1 is 10.8 points since 2006, the closest week of the reg. season.  

 

 

 

 

Week 1

 

Thursday Night

Chiefs @ Patriots

 

Patriots are 3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS v the Chiefs since 2008

  • 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS at home

Patriots were 17-2 SU, 16-3 ATS in 2016/2017 season

  • Both league best

Chiefs were 12-5 SU, 9-7-1 ATS in 2016/2017 season

Patriots are 10-1 SU, 4-7 ATS in their home-openers since 2006

Patriots are 8-0 SU & ATS in their last 8 matches as favourites

Chiefs are 6-0 SU & ATS in their last 6 road matches

 

Recommended Bet: New England 1-13 @ $2.11


 

Jets @ Bills

Jets were 5-11 SU, 6-10 ATS in 2016

Bills were 7-9 SU, 6-9-1 ATS in 2016

Jets are 2-5 SU & ATS v in their last 7 meetings v Bills

Jets are 1-4 SU & ATS in their last 5 road games at the Bills

“Over” was 8-0 in Bills games in 2016, averaging 56.6 points

  • Bet with caution as the Bills have a new Head Coach

Recommended Bet: Over 40.5 points @ $1.96 (Sportsbet)

 


 

 

 

Eagles @ Redskins

 

Eagles were 7-9 SU, 8-8 ATS in 2016

Redskins were 8-7-1 SU, 10-6 ATS in 2016

Redskins are 5-0 SU & ATS in the last 5 matches against the Eagles

7 of the last 9 meetings between these two rivals have been decided by a touchdown or less

Redskins are 4-1 in their last 5 matches against the Eagles are home

Eagles are 0-7 SU, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road matches

Redskins are 5-7 SU, 3-9 in their last 12 games as home favourites

Over is 17-4 in the last 21 Redskins games

  • 8-2 at home

Over is 10-1-1 in the last 12 Eagles road games

Recommended Bet: Over 48 points @ $1.90


 

Raiders @ Titans

 

Raiders were 12-5 SU, 10-7 ATS in 2016

Titans were 9-7 SU, 7-9 ATS in 2016

Raiders have won and covered their last 2 v Titans. “Under” also prevailed both meetings

  • Both @ Tennessee

Titans were 5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS at home in 2016

  • 4-0 SU & ATS in their last 4 home matches

Raiders were 6-2 SU & ATS on the road in the reg. season in 2016

Raiders are 9-6 SU, 11-4 ATS on the road since 2015

“Over” is 8-1 in matches where the Titans are favourite since 2015

“Over” was 12-5 in Raiders matches in 2016/17 season

Recommended Bet: Over 50.5 @ $1.90 (Bet365)

 

 

Jaguars @ Texans

 

Texans were 10-8 SU, 7-11 ATS in 2016

Jags were 3-13 SU, 8-8 ATS in 2016

Jags are 2-10 SU, 5-6-1 ATS against the Texans since 2011

  • 1-5 SU & 4-1-1 ATS at Texans

Texans are 19-2 SU, 15-6 ATS as favourites since 2014

  • 10-0 SU, 7-2-1 ATS at home in last 10

Jags are 2-23 SU, 11-12-2 ATS in their last 25 road matches

Recommended Bet: Houston -5 @ $1.96 (Sportsbet)

 


 

Cardinals @ Lions

 

Cards were 7-8-1 SU, 6-10 ATS in 2016

Lions were 9-7 SU, 8-8 ATS in 2016

Cards are 7-0 SU, 6-1 v the Lions since 2006

Lions were 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS at home in 2016

Cards were 3-5 SU & ATS on the road

Over is 10-0 in Cards road games in the last 10

Over is 7-0 in the last 7 Cards games

Recommended Bet: Over 48 (Bet365)


 

Falcons @ Bears

 

Falcons were 13-6 SU, 12-7 ATS in 2016

Bears were 3-13 SU, 7-9 ATS in 2016

Falcons were 7-1 SU & ATS on the road in 2016

Bears were 3-5 SU, 5-3 ATS at home in 2016

Over was 16-3 in Falcons matches in 2016

  • 11-1 as favourites

Recommended Bet: Falcons -6 @ $1.94


 

 

Ravens @ Bengals

 

Ravens were 8-8 SU, 7-9 ATS

Bengals were 6-9-1 SU, 7-9 ATS

Bengals are 5-0 SU, 4-1 ATS at home v the Ravens

Ravens were 2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS on the road in 2016

Bengals were 4-3-1 SU, 4-4 ATS at home in 2016

Over is 1-7 in the last 8 Bengals matches

Recommended Bet: Bengals -3 @ $2 (Bet365)


 

Steelers @ Browns

 

Steelers were 13-6 SU, 11-8 ATS in 2016

Browns were 1-15 SU, 4-12 ATS in 2016

Steelers are 3-1 SU & ATS @ Browns since 2013

  • Under is 4-0

Steelers were 6-4 SU & ATS on the road in 2016

Browns were 1-7 SU & ATS at home in 2016

  • Under was 6-2

Under is 14-3 in the last 17 Steelers road matches as favourites

Recommended Bet: Under 46.5 points @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

 

Colts @ Rams

 

Colts were 8-8 SU, 7-8-1 ATS in 2016

Rams were 4-12 SU, 4-11-1 ATS in 2016

Colts were 4-4 SU, 3-1-4 ATS on the road in 2016

Rams were 1-7 SU, 1-6-1 ATS at home in 2016

Over is 11-3 in the last 14 Colts road matches

Colts lost 28-7 to Steelers without Andrew Luck in 2016

  • Andrew Luck is not playing

Recommended Bet: (No Trend), but Rams -4.5 @ 1.90


 

Seahawks @ Packers

 

Seahawks were 11-6-1 SU, 8-10 ATS in 2016

Packers were 12-7 SU, 11-7-1 ATS in 2016

Home team is 8-1 SU, 6-2-1 ATS when these two meet

  • Packers are 4-0 SU & ATS at home

Packers were 7-2 SU, 6-2-1 ATS at home in 2016

Seahawks were 3-5-1 SU, 3-6 ATS on the road in 2016

Over is 7-0 in the last 7 Packers matches

Recommended Bet: Packers -3 @ 1.95 (Bet365)


 

Panthers @ 49ers

 

Panthers were 6-10 SU, 6-9-1 ATS in 2016

49ers were 2-14 SU, 5-11 ATS in 2016

49ers were 1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS at home in 2016

Panthers were 2-6 SU, 3-4-1 ATS on the road in 2016

Under is 10-4 in 49ers matches as home dogs since 2015

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 Panthers games

Under is 4-0 in the last 4 Panthers games as favourites

Recommended Bet: Under 47.5 points @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

 


 

Giants @ Cowboys

 

Giants were 11-6 SU, 8-7-2 ATS in 2016

Cowboys were 13-4 SU, 10-6-1 ATS in 2016

Giants are 9-7 SU, 10-5-1 ATS against the Cowboys since 2009

  • 5-3 SU, 5-2-1 ATS at Cowboys since 2009

    • Over is 7-1

Cowboys were 7-2 SU, 5-3-1 ATS at home in 2016

Giants were 4-5 SU, 3-4-2 ATS on the road in 2016

Over was 5-12 in Giants matches in 2016

Over is 7-2 in the last 9 Cowboys matches as home favourites

Recommended Bet: Giants +4 @ $1.86 (Bet365)

 


Saints @ Vikings

 

Saints were 7-9 SU, 10-5-1 ATS in 2016

Vikings 8-8 SU, 9-7 ATS in 2016

Saints were 3-5 SU, 6-1-1 ATS on the road in 2016

Vikings were 5-3 SU, 6-2 ATS at home in 2016

Saints are 10-12 SU, 16-4-2 ATS as dogs

Recommended Bet: (No official bet, but) Saints +3 @ $2.05 (Bet365)


 

Chargers @ Broncos

 

Chargers were 5-11 SU, 7-9 ATS in 2016

Broncos were 9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS in 2016

Broncos are 5-1 SU in their last 6 matches at home v Chargers

Chargers are 8-2-2 ATS @ Broncos since 2006

Chargers were 2-6 SU, 4-4 ATS on the road in 2016

Broncos were 5-3 SU & ATS at home in 2016

Chargers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road matches

Recommended Bet: Chargers +3 @ $1.99 (Sportsbet)

 

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