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NFL: Week 12 - Thanksgiving Picks
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by@thetrendbettor

 

 

NFL Week 12

One of the most exciting NFL weeks is upon us, it’s Thanksgiving week! That just means more games earlier in the NFL week, all of which are live and on free to air! Week 12 also marks the week that there are no more byes, giving us a full sheet of 16 games for every week until the playoffs! Let’s get into it!

2u MIN/DET Under 44.5 points @ $1.90

2u LAC @ DAL Under 47.5 points @ $1.90

 

 

 

Vikings @ Lions

 

The Pick: Under 44.5 at $1.90 with 365 (Also available Under 44 Total Points @ $2.00 (Pinnacle))

The Reason:

Only one of the last eight meetings between the two teams have gone “over” the total. This stat isn’t too surprising considering divisional games are usually lower scoring, but this number should be taken advantage of when you consider the average total points scored in these eight matches is 31.75. In fact, in divisional games in the second half of the season with the total set at or over 44, the “under” is 150-90-3 (62%) since 2004 (BetLab Sports).

 

 

 

 

 

 

Chargers @ Cowboys

 

The Pick: Under 47.5 Total Points @ $1.90 (Bet365)

The Reason:

Only one of the Chargers’ last nine road games have gone over 47.5 total points, and in these games, the average a total of 39.9 points. On the other side of the ball, over is 0-3 in the last three Cowboys matches, and I expect this to continue as the Cowboys will be looking to run the ball, even with Ezekiel Elliot out, as the Chargers have conceded the most yards on the ground, in the league. This total is set too high; it should be around 44.5.

 

 

 

 

 

Giants @ Redskins

 

The Pick: (No play)

The Reason: If these teams were playing at full strength, I would be playing the under due to the divisional stat mentioned earlier, but with so many injuries on both teams (especially on the Washington side of the ball), I find it hard to be playing the under. No play

 

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