NFL Week 15 Preview
3u Chiefs win @ $2.00 (WON)
3u Ravens -6.5 @ $1.88 (Crownbet)
2u Texans +11.5 @ $1.95 (Sportsbet)
2u Packers +3.0 @ $1.95 (Sportsbet)
2u Vikings -11 @ $2 (Sportsbet)
2u TEN/SF Either Team By Under 7.5 Points @ $1.91 (Sportsbet)
0.5u Ravens D/ST Anytime TD @ $4.50 (Sportsbet)
Ravens @ Browns
– Ravens -6.5 @ $1.88 (Crownbet)
– Ravens D/ST Anytime TD @ $4.50 (Sportsbet)
The Reason: The Ravens are 17-2 SU in their last 19 games against the Browns and are 11-2 ATS in their last 13. The Browns are 1-15 SU, 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games at home. With far too much to lose, the Ravens should win and win comfortably.
The Ravens defence have the second most takeaways this season, and no team has turned the ball over more than the Browns in 2017. The Ravens have also scored 7 D/ST touchdowns in 2017, the equal most in the league.
Texans @ Jaguars
The Pick: Texans +11.5 @ $1.95 (Sportsbet)
The Reason: As a rule of thumb, I like backing big underdogs in divisional games, and the Texans fall under that bracket. The books have made a small adjustment in favour of the Jaguars when the news that 3rd string quarterback TJ Yates will start opposed to 2nd string Tom Savage. It’s hard to downgrade from a QB who has had a passer rating of 67+ in only 2 of his 7 starts in 2017, so I believe the bookies have got this wrong. Don’t get me wrong, but TJ Yates is no stud, but he does have a respectable (for a back-up) career passer rating of 75.7.
This stat is very unique, but NFL home teams are 15-26-1 SU and 14-27-1 ATS versus divisional opponents after facing the Seahawks, including 6-12 SU and 3-15 ATS against .499 or worse foes. This applies to the Jags this week.
The Pick: Vikings -11 @ $2 (Sportsbet)
The Reason: The Bengals were embarrassed at home 7-33 to the Bears… TO THE BEARS(!?) last week, and I don’t think there is any rebounding from that. To be honest, the score flatters them a bit as Cincinnati put up 234 yards compared to the Bears 482 net yards. There is absolutely no life in this football team, and now they are up against a team with one of the best home field advantages. Coming off a crucial loss last weekend, the Vikings know that a top 2 seed is at stake and another loss would put those chances at risk. The Vikings will win it easily here.
Packers @ Panthers
The Pick: Packers +3.0 @ $1.95 (Sportsbet)
The Reason: Some guy name Aaron Rodgers is back; you may have heard of him? Not only do they immediately become a way better team with him, the atmosphere within the Green Bay camp has to be upbeat as their season is still very much alive. The Packers are 10-1 SU in the last 11 matches when Aaron Rodgers has started and finished the game. I like the Packers to at least keep it within a field goal.
Titans @ 49ers
The Pick: Either team by under 7.5 points @ $1.91 (Sportsbet)
The Reason: 6 of the last 9 Titans matches have been decided by 7 points or less. I have stated numerous times that I believe the Titans are the most overrated team in the league, and I think the bookies and public have finally noticed. After their loss to the Cardinals last week, the 8-5 Titans are underdogs to the 3-10 49ers. Just think about that for a second. The 9ers have to be one of the most upbeat 3-10 teams the league has ever seen since they have finally found their franchise QB in Jimmy Garappolo, so I expect them to show up just like they have done recently, but this is a must win for the Titans, so they shouldn’t get blown out by more than 2 scores. I expect a close one here.