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NFL: Week 4 Betting Trends and Tips
free bets bet 365

 

by @thetrendbettor

 

 

Official Plays:

2u Packers -6.5 @ $1.83 (Pinnacle) WON + 1.66 units

2u NO/MIA o50.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

3u Falcons win / Over 48.5 @ $2.38 (Bet365)

1u Ravens +3 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

2u Rams +6 @ $1.94 (Sportsbet)   

2u Denver -3 @ $1.89 (Sportsbet)

2u Patriots + Seahawks + Chiefs @ $1.83 + 10% = $1.97 (Bet365)

 

 

 

 

 

Bears @ Packers

Packers are 8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 matches v Bears

Packers are 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home matches

Bears are 0-9 SU, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road matches

Bears are 3-15 SU, 6-12 ATS in their last 18 divisional road matches

Over is 13-3 in the last 16 Packers matches

 

Recommended Bet:

2u Packers -6.5 @ $1.83 (Bet365)

 

 

 

 

 

Saints v Dolphins (London)

 

Over is 5-0 in the last 5 Saints matches

Over is 9-4 in the last 13 Dolphins matches

Over is 10-2 in the last 12 matches where Saints are favourites

Over is 10-3 in matches played on international soil

Recommended Bet: Over 50.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bills @ Falcons

 

Bills are 1-5 SU, 1-3-2 ATS in their last 6 road matches

Over is 11-5 in the Bills last 16 matches

Falcons are 9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 matches

  • Only loss was the Super Bowl

Falcons are 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS in their last 10 home matches

Over is 11-0 in the last 11 Falcons home matches

  • 18-4 in their last 22 matches in total

Recommended Bet:

Falcons win / Over 48.5 @ $2.38 (Bet365)

 

 

 

 

 

Steelers @ Ravens

 

Ravens are 4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS @ home against the Steelers since 2013

14 of the last 18 reg. season meetings have been decided by 4 points or less

Ravens are 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 matches at home

Teams who were “more distracted” by the protests were 1-11 ATS last week (oddsshark.com)

  • Steelers are still in the news over protests

Recommended Bet: Ravens +3 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rams @ Cowboys

 

Ignore the Rams 2-8 SU, 1-9 ATS record from their last 10 games as this year’s Rams are a completely different football side. This coach, Sean McVay is taking them places.

A huge stat that bookmakers look at when adjudicating odds is “net yards per play” (offensive yards per play minus defensive yards per play). This stat tells you how well a team moves the ball compared to their opponents. The Rams are ranked 3rd in the league for this category (1.2 yards) and the Cowboys are ranked 10th (0.4 yards).

Cowboys are 30-29 SU, 21-36-2 ATS at home under Jason Garrett

Recommended Bet: Rams +6 @ $1.94 (Sportsbet)

 

 


 

Raiders @ Broncos

 

Broncos are 10-3 SU, 8-3-2 ATS in their last 13 home matches

Raiders are 2-4 SU & ATS in their last 6 road matches

Broncos are 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS @ home against the Raiders

Recommended Bet: Denver -3 @ $1.87 (Sportsbet)

 

 

 

 

Banker Bet:

 

Patriots are 17-1 SU in their last 18 matches as 9+ point favourites

Seahawks are 10-1 SU the week after a loss

Chiefs are 13-3 SU in their last 16 home matches

Recommended Bet: Patriots + Seahawks + Chiefs @ $1.83 + 10% = $1.97 (Bet365)

 

 

 

 

 

 

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