NFL Week 8 Preview
4u Vikings -5.5 First Half @ $1.90 (Sportsbet)
4u Saints -8.5 @ $1.91 (Pinnacle)
2u Chargers +7.5 @ $1.91 (Pinnacle)
2u Panthers +1.5 @ $1.95 (Pinnacle)
2u Falcons & Raiders +10.5 & Bengals @ $2.02 (Sportsbet)
0.5u Minnesota D/ST Anytime TD @ $4.50 (Sportsbet)
0.5u New Orleans D/ST Anytime TD $5.50 (Sportsbet)
Browns v Vikings (U.K)
The Pick: Vikings -5.5 First Half @ $1.90 (Sportsbet)
The Reason: The Browns have been outscored 117-34 in the first halves in their 7 matches in 2017. I honestly have no idea what coach Hue Jackson is doing. He starts second round draft pick DeShone Kizer, only to bench him at half time when they’re down 10+… only to start him again in the next match. Kizer has thrown for 3 TD’s and 11 interceptions in his debut season. I expect him to be benched at half time again as he will struggle against one of the most underrated defences in the league. The reason why I am going for the -4.5 first half opposed to a -9.5 match bet is because I expect backup quarterback, Cody Kessler to throw a few late irrelevant touchdowns. Also, most bookmakers are offering -6.5 first half points as they expect a similar story line. Take Sportsbet’s mistake of just simply halving the match line.
Bears @ Saints
The Pick: 4u Saints -8.5 @ $1.91 (Pinnacle)
The Reason: The Saints have averaged 33 points in their last 17 matches at home. To put it simply, if you want to beat the Saints under the dome, you have to be able to score points. Credit has to be given to the Chicago Bears, they’ve won their last two matches and haven’t conceded an offensive touchdown in their last two matches, but their game plan isn’t built for matches like these. You have to throw, and you have to score points if you’re a chance to beat Drew Brees under the roof – neither of which the Bears can do.
Chargers @ Patriots
The Pick: Chargers +7.5 @ $1.91 (Pinnacle)
The Reason: The Chargers are 5-12 SU, 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 road matches, losing by 8 points or more just twice. I do believe the Patriots will win, but in a tight one. I’ll take the touchdown-and-some head start for the Chargers.
Panthers @ Buccaneers
2u Panthers +1.5 @ $1.95 (Pinnacle)
The Reason: I was wrong on the Panthers against the Bears last week, but with a two game losing streak next to their name, Carolina surely realise that this is a must-win game if they’re to stay in touch with the Saints in the NFC South. The Bucs are arguably the most underachieving team in the league, and they have injuries on both sides of the ball. I expect inconsistent Cam to bounce back this week.
The Pick: Falcons & Raiders +10.5 & Bengals @ $2.02 (Sportsbet)
Similarly to the Panthers, this is simply a must win for the Falcons as they have lost their last three and cannot afford to lose a fourth. My “they have a mental edge over their opponents” theory went to be completely proven wrong last week as the Falcons got completely smashed by their Super Bowl opponents in the Patriots. Their NFC title defence will be in tatters if they cannot find a way to win this one.
Although the Bills are a good team, they’re not a team that can kill their opponent. Buffalo play a conservative style based on good defence and pounding the rock and has resulted in the Bills not winning by over 10 points yet in 2017. The Raiders showed how good they can be in their win over the Chiefs last week. They’re too good to lose by over 10 points here.
The Colts are one of, if not the worst team in the league.
Defences to Score:
Minnesota @ $4.50 (Sportsbet)
New Orleans $5.50 (Sportsbet)
The Reasons: The Browns (v Vikings) and the Bears (v New Orleans) turn the ball over for fun, being ranked one and two in giveaways in the league, respectively. The Browns have 19 giveaways in 2017, 5 more than the next worse (Chicago). The Bears will be forced to throw the ball late against the Saints if they’re to try and stay close, I can see a pick going the other way. Half a unit Each