Germany have won their group in the last 6 World Cups and cruised through qualification, as they tend to do so. They have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 games. They scored plenty of goals in qualifying too with 36 in 10 matches but there must be some question marks about how well their forward line will cope in Brazil if they stick with 36 year old Miroslav Klose as their number nine.
Ze Germans have won three World Cups, have been runners up four times and beaten semi-finalists five times. They have won 60 of their 99 finals matches, drawing 19 and losing 20. Impressive.
It would be a massive surprise if the Germans fail to get to the quarter finals at least, let alone get out of this group.
Portugal, or Cristiano Ronaldo FC as they may as well be known, only qualified via a playoff with Sweden despite only losing once in qualification. They’ve been very much a ‘nearly’ team at World Cups, most recently losing to Spain on penalties in 2010. Their form then was far superior to now, however, as they had conceded just 3 goals in a 19 match undefeated run up to that point.
Portugal won 6, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their most recent 10 matches.
The port and cheese were beaten semi-finalists in 1966 and 2006 and made the round of 16 in 2010.
USA’s forward line will likely come from Landon Donovan, Jozy Altidore and Clint Dempsey so it’s tempting just to leave the preview at that and you can make your own minds up to avoid them like you would a particularly nasty dose of the Spanish itch.
They’ve won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
USA have qualified for the last seven World Cups and have won 7 of the 29 games they’ve played.
Ghana are not the team they were in 2010 when they only lost out narrowly to Uruguay in the quarter finals after Asamoa Gyan missed a last minute penalty in normal time and then lost on a penalty shoot out.
They have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3 of their last 10 matches but it’s the score lines from these matches that give us the best clue as to where the value might lie in their group games.
The last 8 matches Ghana have played have produced under 2.5 goals with 7 of those going under 1.5 goals; add this to their results in the last World Cup of 1-0 v Serbia, 1-1 v Australia and 0-1 v Germany in the group stages plus 1-1 draws with USA and Uruguay in the knockout stages and it’s obvious that under 2.5 goals in any match they might play should be a strong favourite.
Ghana made the quarter finals in 2010 and the round of 16 in 2006, the only finals they’ve qualified for.
Germany/Portugal straight forecast at $2.60 with
USA to concede most goals at $2.1 with