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World Cup: South Korea v Algeria

 

 

 

 

South Korea Screenshot 2014-05-27 12.26.07

• Central defender Hong Jeong-Ho came off injured against Russia and is considered a doubt at this stage. • Not likely to make many unforced changes to their starting eleven.
• A match they realistically need to win if they are to progress from the group.

Unavailable

None

Doubtful

Hong Jeong-Ho – CB – 60%

Returning

None

Expected Team(4-2-3-1)

Team News

Central defender Hong Jeong-Ho had some fitness problems going into the previous match and although he started he did go off injured in the second half. This injury isn’t serious and he has joined in with some training. They will monitor him over the next couple of days and make a decision. Hwang Seok-Ho would be the replacement; his defending isn’t as reliable as Hongs.

Apart from that It is unlikely that they will make many if at all any unforced changes from the game against Russia.
Lee Keun-Ho came off the bench replacing Park Chu-Young in attack and scored putting himself in contention for a start here. Coach Hong may opt to use Lee from the bench again if they need a lift in the second half with Park’s ability to hold the ball up and bring others into play used from the start.

Goalkeeper Jung Sung-Ryong again looked shaky at times with his handling but it is unlikely that a change will be made in that position.

Bench (from): Kim Seung-Gyu GK, Lee Beom-Young GK, Kim Chang-Soo RB, Hwang Seok-Ho CB, Kwak Tae-Hwi CB, Park Joo-Ho LB, Park Jong-Woo DM, Ha Sae-Sung CM, Kim Bo-Kyung AM/CM, Ji Dong-Won ST, Kim Shin-Wook ST, Lee Keun-Ho ST

Tactical Keys to the Game:

  •   The central midfield of South Korea impressed in their opening game. Ki Sung-Yong was very composed on the ball and much of their best work came from him, there was a good balance between Ki and his midfield partner Han Kook- Young who broke up play well and played more simple passes. The form of these two players will be vital in supplying ball to the trio of Son, Lee and Koo in attacking areas.
  •   They still need to show more conviction in the final third of the pitch which was a problem coming into the tournament, some of the shooting was wayward against Russia, especially from Son.
  •   The defence has some shaky moment into the build up to the tournament and although it wasn’t perfect against Russia, there was some improvement despite conceding soon after Hong left the pitch. Some concerns still remain over keeper Jung though who had problems with shots from distance and his handling can still unsettle his own defenders.Motivational Keys to the Game:
  •   Due to some poor results in their warm-up games confidence was not great going into the Russia game, so not losing the first game was very important to Korea. This match was always going to be the key game for Korea, winning against Algeria a must if they have any hopes of progression from the group.
  •   Three of Korea’s big players Ki Sung-Yong, Son Heung-Min and Koo Ja-Cheol collected yellows in the opener. They can’t afford to lose these for Belgium, so if they are in the lead be wary of these players being removed to preserve them.

 

Algeria Screenshot 2014-05-27 12.22.22

• Coach Halilhodzic under some pressure after a negative media reaction to 2-1 defeat to Belgium. • Algeria expected to take a far more offensive approach here than they did in their first match.
• An extra attacker may be brought into the starting line-up to go 4-2-3-1 instead of 4-3-3.

Unavailable

None

Doubtful

Yebda – CM – 50%

Returning

None

Expected Team (4-2-3-1)

Team News

In their opening match against Belgium, Algeria used a 4-3-3. For this game, against more beatable opposition, they are expected to name a more offensive line-up.

The player most likely to drop out of the side is defensive midfielder Medjani. His job against Belgium was to provide protection for the back four. Algeria are more likely to use a two-man midfield this time. Bentaleb and Taider started against Belgium. They stand a good chance of keeping their places.

Algeria are likely to pick an attacking midfielder in place of Medjani. Brahimi is arguably the strongest contender. He can play on the wing or just behind the central strikers. His inclusion would make Algeria a 4-2-3-1 instead of a 4-3-3.

There could be a couple of other changes as the coach tries to find a winning formula. At right-back, Mostefa was picked ahead of Mandi against Belgium. Mandi is more effective going forward so he could get called up this time.

In attack, Slimani stands a reasonable chance of starting. He appeared as a substitute against Belgium, replacing Soudani. Slimani may be preferred to Soudani this time.

Bench (from): Si Mohamed GK, Zemmamouche GK, Mostefa RB/DM, Cadamuro CB, Belkalem CB, Mesbah LB, Medjani CB/DM, Lacen DM, Yebda CM, Djabou AM, Ghilas ST, Soudani ST

Tactical Keys to the Game:

  •   In order to win Algeria’s players will have to change their mindset. The team deliberately took a defensive approach against Belgium. In this match Algeria have to show they can play more offensive football.
  •   The movement and understanding between the attackers behind the striker will be very important. If Algeria line-up in a 4-2-3-1, expect the three players behind the central striker to switch positions regularly throughout the game.
  •   Also look out for the full-backs attacking a lot more than they did in their first match. On the left wing Ghoulam showed a glimpse of the excellent service he can provide by supplying the cross that led to Algeria winning a penalty against Belgium. Expect Ghoulam and Mandi or Mostefa (on the right) to get forward a lot more frequently in this match.Motivational Keys to the Game:
  •   The press have reacted angrily to Algeria’s defensive approach against Belgium, even though such an approach was always likely. Algeria have admitted they will be a lot more offensive in this game.
  •   The mood in the camp appears positive and determined. The players know they have to win to stand a reasonable chance of qualifying for the second round.

 

 

Bettorlogic Betting Preview:
South Korea (37) v Algeria (47), Sunday 22nd June 20:00 BST

South Korea picked up a point in their opener against Russia in a match where both teams looked happy to settle for a draw, but with Belgium still to come they should be targeting a win here. Algeria put up a good fight in their first game and with two winnable matches remaining they are in with an excellent chance of making it to the second round.

In a game of few chances last week it always looked like South Korea’s match against Russia would be decided by a keeper error and while Jung Sung-Ryong got away with it in that match we wouldn’t be surprised to see him make a mistake at some point.

With nine defeats in 19 games since June 2013, including losses to Iran, Japan and Tunisia, South Korea had little form as they came into these finals. Furthermore, they’ve kept just one clean sheet in their last 10 World Cup games and have won just one of their last five games against teams ranked 31- 60, with three defeats.

Algeria are likely to be more attacking here as they look to try and win the match after setting out for a draw last week. While their ranking has improved by 18 spots in the past year (and 27 in the last two years) South Korea’s has fallen eight places and they definitely had the better form leading up to the finals. Before their loss against Belgium the Desert Foxes had won 10 of their last 11 matches and they’ve also won five of their last six games against teams ranked 21-60.

South Korea have been installed as favourites but there wasn’t too much in their display against Russia to support that. Given the close nature of the group a draw is unlikely to end either team’s chances so while we expect both sides to attack more than in their openers we’ll keep the draw covered.

 

 

Recommendation:

Algeria in the ‘draw no bet’ market at $2.30 with Screenshot 2014-06-13 14.59.08

 

 

 

Screenshot 2014-06-13 12.52.23

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