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by @betdetective



Season so far: 11 bets for +3.22 units



We have five matches this weekend with three bets and a possible addition of another two if the markets move a bit.



Our model’s odds:


Perth Glory $1.55 Central Coast  Mariners $6.43
Brisbane Roar $3.06 Melbourne City $2.47
Sydney FC $2.32 Melbourne Victory $3.36
Western Sydney FC $2.31 Newcastle Jets $2.96
Wellington Phoenix $2.88 Adelaide United $2.63





Perth have started very well and top the ladder with their opposition at the other end of the spectrum. This won’t put us off having half a unit on Central Coast, but only if their odds drift to $8.5 (current best odds are $7).


Similarly, we’ll back Brisbane, but only if we can get $3.50 (best odds $3.10)


First bet for us is once again on the Melbourne Victory who are overpriced to beat Sydney in Sydney. The Victory have clicked in their last two games and their poor start is now behind them. It will be tough but at $3.70 with Ladbrokes we’ll be on for one unit.


We’ll have the same bet on Newcastle to beat Western Sydney at $3.60 with Sportsbet. We were on the Jets to beat Sydney and they outshot them by 13-5 in the 1-1 draw. WSW are improved but are too short at a touch over even money. 


The last bet is on Wellington to beat Adelaide in NZ at $3.60 with Ladbrokes. Adelaide are average and Wellington may, just may, have improved a little. 



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