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AFL: Hawks v Swans
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Hawthorn v Sydney – MCG


Hawthorn are 5-2 SU & ATS, 2-5 Over in 2018

Sydney are 4-3 SU, 3-4 ATS, 2-5 Over in 2018



Key Trends:


  • Hawks are 6-2 SU & ATS in their last 8 matches against Sydney

    • 3-2 SU & ATS at the MCG

  • “Under” is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between the two sides

    • All matches were night matches

  • 7 of the last 9 meetings between the two sides have been decided by under 20 points

  • Sydney are 6-4 SU & ATS at the MCG since 2015

    • Under is 8-2 in that time. Average total points is 149.8

  • Under is 10-3 in the last 13 night matches at the MCG



I love it when these two face each other – it almost always seems to be a close match. Melbourne has been absolutely pissing down in the last 48 hours, and with more rain and wind expected at the time of the bounce, I expect this one to be another tight one.



Recommended Bet: 2u Either Team Under 19.5 Points @ $1.91 (Sportsbet)

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