Round 12: Bets 4, units staked 5, +1.4 units profit
2019: Bets 84, units staked 95, +17.6 units profit at 18.5% ROI
We had no bets last week but have opportunities in four of the six games in round 14.
First up we have Essendon going to Perth to take on the reigning Premiers West Coast coming off the back of a solid win last week over the Hawks. The Eagles had the bye last week and a loss to the Swans before that. Essendon are a decent side on their day – as all mid ladder teams are I guess – and I like them to run West Coast close.
1 unit Essendon at $3.35 with Topbetta and 1.5 units +18.5 Sportsbet
The Swans have improved of late after looking pretty awful early in the season but I like backing the Hawks as underdogs and we make the line closer to a goal than two goals so have to be happy to take the +13.5 with the TAB for 1.5 units and also chuck a unit on the straight up at $2.6 with Beteasy.
Next up we are backing St Kilda at the plus against Brisbane at Marvel Stadium. The Saints have a very good record against the poorer teams in 2019 and while Brisbane are not one of those they also aren’t one of the best. The Lions have had a week to get over their defeat to Carlton in round 12.
1.5 units St Kilda +6.5 with Sportsbet
Last up we have Western Bulldogs at home to Collingwood and the Dogs will be hoping to exact some sort of revenge for their defeat to the Pies at the MCG in March when they looked the most likely winner for most of the game when we were on at $5.
1 unit Western Bulldogs at $3.75 with Topbetta and 1.5 units +22.5 TAB/Sportsbet