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AFL: Round 16 Preview and Tips
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by @betdetective

 

We are on to Round 16 and back to a full set of fixtures after two bye rounds. 

 

Thursday night sees a resurgent Port Adelaide (i’m still clinging to the $101 Flag voucher despite them being $251 now) welcome reigning champs Hawthorn to the Adelaide Oval and the bookies have the line as low as -5.5 in favour of the team in brown and yellow. 

 

Hawthorn have won 18 and lost 7 of their interstate games since 2014, covering 13 times.

 

They are 4/1 S/U and 4/1 ATS as under 10 point favourites I/S in that time. 

 

Port have a good record at home as one might expect winning 21 and losing 12 there since 2014, covering 17 times and failing to cover 16 times. 

 

Hawthorn are top of a congested ladder with Port 8 points outside the eight in ninth place. 

 

It will be a tough match for the champs but i make the line closer to two goals than one so the -5.5 is a bet for me.

 

1 unit Hawthorn -5.5 at $1.93 with Screenshot 2014-05-03 13.10.10

 

 

 

 

Geelong vs Sydney at Simonds Stadium is another mouthwatering clash to look forward to on Friday night and i’m always keen to get with the Cats at home where they are 16/3 S/U and 11/8 ATS since 2014.

 

Their records as favourites up to 20 points of 7/0 and 4/3 ATS and 7/0 and 6/1 at night are also impressive. 

 

Sydney are 3/7, 4/6 as underdogs interstate since 2014.

 

1 unit Geelong -15.5 at $1.92 with Screenshot 2015-03-18 17.20.26

 

 

 

 

Our next bet is in the GWS vs Collingwood match at Spotless Stadium at lunchtime on Saturday.

 

GWS are beasts at home, winning and covering in each of their five matches at Spotless in 2016 with an average winning margin of 59 points. Included in those wins was a 42 point win over Sydney and a 75 point win over the Hawks. They started as underdogs in both games. 

 

Collingwood have been travelling OK ATS when interstate since 2015, covering in 6 of their 8 games but GWS should have way too much firepower for the Pies in this one.

 

1 unit GWS -45.5 at $1.92 with Screenshot 2015-03-18 17.20.26

 

 

 

 

Our final bet of the round is Adelaide to cover at the MCG against Carlton. We’ve been on the Crows bandwagon for sometime now and i’ve not seen any reason to jump off just yet.

1 unit Adelaide -31.5 at $1.91 with Screenshot 2014-05-21 12.49.05

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