We have five rounds behind us so we’ve seen what each team has to offer and now we can start having a few line bets to go with the totals picks that we’ve done OK with so far.
First game on Friday night from Canberra is GWS vs Western Bulldogs and I think the result of last years finals match will be reversed this time and i like GWS to cover the 22.5 point line and maybe even rack up a bit of a score on the Premiers. The Dogs have done well to win four of their first five games but they’ve been favourites to win all of them and GWS will be a different proposition.
GWS -22.5 at $1.91 with
I also think the points line is a little on the high side at 180.5 with the same bookmaker and this is worth a nibble despite the $1.85 odds.
Hawthorn have to beat the Saints in Tassie on Saturday and I think they will do just that. They’ve won their last 10+ at the venue and although this looks like a tougher task (average line of those six games was -44.5) they should have enough to get past the Saints who are only a little better than average.
Hawthorn -1.5 at $1.93 with
North play the Suns in another game that should be a close one and we’re going to the points line for a bet. My number for this one was 190 so under 198.5 at $1.91 with will do us.
Last up we’ll take Essendon to get one over the Demons in what should be a good contest. The Dees have ruck issues and I can see the Bombers midfield and speed of ball movement causing Melbourne a few problems.
Essendon -2.5 at $1.92 with