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AFL: Round 9
free bets bet 365

Round 8: Bets 10, units staked 13, -1.64 units profit

2019: Bets 70, units staked 79, +21.2 units profit at 30% ROI

 

A case of so near yet so far last week with Carlton at a whopping $10 trading at sub $1.3 in the final quarter against Collingwood and Gold Coast at $3.3 leading inside the final 30 seconds and both losing. Hawthorn won in our last bet of the round to limit the damage. 

Not a lot for us in round 9 with the markets looking pretty accurate according to our numbers.

 

We do, however, have a bet in the first match of the round as West Coast host Melbourne on Friday. It’s possible that we have underrated the Eagles but we have them as currently the 9th best team in the AFL with Melbourne the 10th. See our running ladder below.

Geelong

Collingwood

Adelaide

Port Adelaide

GWS

Richmond

Essendon

Hawthorn

West Coast

Melbourne

Brisbane

Western Bulldogs

North

St Kilda

Fremantle

Sydney

Carlton

Gold Coast

 

This makes the +22.5 available on Melbourne a good looking bet as well as the $4.1 available on the upset on Betfair. We’ll have two units on the line bet and one unit on the straight up win. 

 

The only other bet we have as things stand is in the very last game of the round, on Carlton against GWS. We have GWS rated the 5th best team and Carlton the 15th but we also have very little between the Hawks in 8th spot and the Suns in last place and it would not take a lot to see Carlton winning a few games over the next few weeks with a relatively easy run of games coming up for them after this week. 

 

1 unit Carlton at $6.2 with Sportsbetting and 1.5 units +39.5 with Bet365

In the other games our numbers just about favour the Crows, Cats, Bombers, North (would have put up North -3.5 earlier in the week if we were backing favourites) and Port.

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