It’s the most wonderful time of the year, or maybe that’s Christmas or Harvest Festival I can’t remember now but Australian Football is back in the shape of the AFL on Thursday this week so we might as well have a pop at a couple of futures bets starting with finding the team that will have the most losses in 2017.
Brisbane head up the market at $2.25 and odds on with Bet365 and their abject performances over the last few years make them a worthy favourite to record the most losses, as they did in 2016 with three losses, equalled by the heavily depleted Essendon, and 2015 when they won four times, equalled by Gold Coast and Carlton.
The Lions have a new head coach in Chris Fagan who spent close to a decade at Hawthorn as Head of Coaching and Development. This is the tried and tested route when appointing coaches at the moment as illustrated by Brendan Bolton and Luke Beveridge’s appointments in recent years. Alistair Clarkson should really be getting a back-hander for training all these future AFL first team coaches.
I’m not interested in tying up funds for 6 months on even money shots and the odds are nothing to shout about anyway. It’s hard to see Brisbane not being near the bottom of the ladder come September but equally there could be improvement under the new coach.
Carlton at $4.50 are next in the list but i liked what Brendan Bolton did at times last year before they went off the boil around half way through the season. They can equal their 7 wins from last year which will be enough to keep them off the bottom.
$8 shots Gold Coast can go close to making the finals. They have lagged behind the other expansion team, GWS, in the last couple of years but they still have a host of quality young players in their squad.
The first bet I like in this market – and what fun we’ll have in hoping they lose every week – is North Melbourne.
Their season last year started with nine wins on the bounce before recording 11 losses in their next 14 games. Since then they’ve let go a handful of their ageing – but best – players and have shown signs in the off season of not necessarily having the best team spirit when a few players including captain Andrew Swallow started swinging at each other’s heads in a practice match.
Their coach, Brad Scott, always seems like he’s teetering on the edge of a breakdown and I can see him getting the boot within the opening two months of the season with the Kangaroos having to face West Coast, Geelong, GWS and the Bulldogs in the first month. If they go into their match in Perth against the Dockers at 0-4 it could be curtains for Scott should they lose that one.
1 unit North Melbourne most losses at $13 with
A speculative pick next in Port Adelaide. Another team whose coach may be under intense pressure should they get off to bad start. They begin with two road games at the Swans and Dockers before taking on the Crows at their shared home of Adelaide Oval. It’s not hard to see Port at 0-3 as they square up to GWS in Canberra in round 4.
Port were truly awful at times last year and I question the backbone of their team when it comes to a dog fight. Charlie Dixon has all the attributes to be an awesome full forward but his inconsistencies typified Port Adelaide in 2016.
0.5 units Port Adelaide most losses at $51 with